When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Southern Miss · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Southern Miss · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
USM -2.5 | 59.5 | 10192943 | U | WKU Q4 | 27–16 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USM -6.5 | 50.5 | 0172446 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USM -2.5 | 53.5 | 7284977 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 35–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USM -3.5 | 65.5 | 10273455 | U | TXST Q1 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USM -6.5 | 54.5 | 17242748 | U | ARST Q4 Late cover flip |
27–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USM -13.5 | 48.5 | 14354970 | Q3 | USM Q3 | 21–49 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USM -4.5 | 54.5 | 7203032 | U | USM Q2 | 22–10 |
2025 · Week 7 |
USM -2.5 | 60.5 | 14355673 | Q4 | USM Q2 | 38–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
USM -5.5 | 55.5 | 17244667 | Q4 | USM Q1 Late over |
25–42 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LT -3.5 | 50.5 | 27404350 | U | LT Q1 | 20–30 |
2025 · Week 3 |
APP -2.5 | 56.5 | 14243860 | Q4 | USM Q1 Late over |
22–38 |
 JKST @  USM2025 · Week 2 |
USM -13.5 | 52.5 | 17273458 | Q4 | USM Q3 | 20–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MSST -15.5 | 59.5 | 13234451 | U | MSST Q3 | 34–17 |
WKU
TROY
USA
TXST
ARST
ULM
UL
GASO
JXST
LT
APP
MSSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 15% 2
Q3 23% 3
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 85% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 85% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.