When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · SMU · pick one to list those games
31% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · SMU · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
SMU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14243043 | U | SMU Q1 | 19–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 10243873 | Q4 | CAL Q1 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SMU -3.5 | 50.5 | 10273044 | U | SMU Q1 | 6–38 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SMU -10.5 | 54.5 | 10233758 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 45–13 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MIA -6.5 | 46.5 | 717344046 | U | SMU Q2 Lead lost |
20–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SMU -5.5 | 52.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2025 · Week 8 |
CLEM -5.5 | 49.5 | 7234059 | Q4 | SMU Q1 | 35–24 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SMU -19.5 | 55.5 | 7243444 | U | SMU Q4 | 10–34 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SMU -17.5 | 56.5 | 3272749 | U | SYR Q4 | 18–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TCU -6.5 | 63.5 | 10243859 | U | TCU Q4 | 24–35 |
2025 · Week 3 |
SMU -28.5 | 59.5 | 10243138 | U | MOST Q1 | 28–10 |
2025 · Week 2 |
SMU -2.5 | 65.5 | 1045487693 | Q4 | BAY Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
48–45 |
 ETAM @  SMU2025 · Week 1 |
SMU -50.5 | 64.5 | 14243155 | U | ETAM Q1 | 13–42 |
ARIZ
CAL
LOU
BC
MIA
WAKE
CLEM
STAN
SYR
TCU
MOST
BAYWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 15% 2
Q3 8% 1
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 64% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 22+ | 7 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.