When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · San Diego State · pick one to list those games
33% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 75% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · San Diego State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 27486296 | Q3 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
49–47 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SDSU -1.5 | 41.5 | 324343440 | U | UNM Q3 | 17–23 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SDSU -9.5 | 51.5 | 11212128 | U | SDSU Q1 | 3–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
SDSU -2.5 | 43.5 | 0212124 | U | SDSU Q2 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SDSU -6.5 | 47.5 | 17304444 | U | HAW Q1 | 6–38 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SDSU -10.5 | 41.5 | 14242431 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SDSU -3.5 | 45.5 | 7131323 | U | SDSU Q1 | 23–0 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SDSU -6.5 | 42.5 | 14354454 | Q3 | SDSU Q1 | 44–10 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SDSU -4.5 | 40.5 | 7384869 | Q3 | SDSU Q1 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 5 |
SDSU -1.5 | 42.5 | 3669 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
6–3 |
2025 · Week 4 |
CAL -13.5 | 45.5 | 0132734 | U | SDSU Q1 | 0–34 |
2025 · Week 2 |
WSU -2.5 | 46.5 | 14264249 | Q4 | WSU Q2 Late over |
13–36 |
UNT
SDSU
UNM
SJSU
BOIS
HAW
WYO
FRES
NEV
CSU
NIU
CAL
WSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 6
Q2 17% 2
Q3 8% 1
Q4 25% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 90% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.