When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Sam Houston · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Sam Houston · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
FIU -10.5 | 50.5 | 29385272 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 56–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MTSU -6.5 | 53.5 | 10202748 | U | MTSU Q3 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DEL -13.5 | 56.5 | 7203349 | U | SHSU Q1 | 23–26 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ORST -21.5 | 52.5 | 10243138 | U | SHSU Q1 | 21–17 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LT -16.5 | 48.5 | 14275569 | Q3 | LT Q2 | 14–55 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UTEP -3.5 | 47.5 | 14243852 | Q4 | UTEP Q2 | 35–17 |
2025 · Week 7 |
JXST -7.5 | 52.5 | 7313856 | Q4 | SHSU Q1 Late over |
29–27 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SHSU -1.5 | 53.5 | 0132347 | U | NMSU Q1 | 10–37 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TEX -39.5 | 51.5 | 14314855 | Q4 | TEX Q3 | 0–55 |
2025 · Week 2 |
HAW -7.5 | 48.5 | 10233357 | Q4 | HAW Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UNLV -8.5 | 60.5 | 21313859 | U | UNLV Q2 | 38–21 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WKU -10.5 | 60.5 | 10305865 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 24–41 |
FIU
SHSU
MTSU
DEL
ORST
LT
UTEP
JXST
NMSU
TEX
HAW
UNLV
WKUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 25% 3
Q3 17% 2
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 90% and covered 80% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 92% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.