When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

13 games · 2025 · Ohio · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.

All 13 games

2025 · Ohio · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Postseason
UNLV -6.5 64.5 061727 U OHIO Q1 10–17
2025 · Week 14
OHIO -7 44.5 7284157 Q4 BUFF Q4
Late cover flip
31–26
2025 · Week 13
OHIO -34.5 53.5 14284256 Q4 MASS Q1
Late over
14–42
2025 · Week 12
WMU -1.5 46.5 10101730 U WMU Q3 13–17
2025 · Week 11
OHIO -2.5 50.5 061644 U OHIO Q3
Late cover flip Lead lost
20–24
2025 · Week 9
OHIO -13.5 60.5 21212849 U EMU Q1 28–21
2025 · Week 8
OHIO -11.5 42.5 14294869 Q3 OHIO Q1 21–48
2025 · Week 6
OHIO -14.5 52.5 7142434 U BALL Q1
Lead lost
14–20
2025 · Week 5
OHIO -7.5 49.5 24344155 Q4 OHIO Q2 20–35
GWEB @ OHIO
2025 · Week 4
OHIO -29.5 54.5 17525987 Q3 GWEB Q1 35–52
2025 · Week 3
OSU -28.5 49.5 3163246 U OHIO Q1 9–37
2025 · Week 2
WVU -3.5 58.5 10242727 U OHIO Q2 10–17
2025 · Week 1
RUTG -15.5 53.5 14486265 Q3 OHIO Q1 31–34

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 15% 2
Q3 15% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 42% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 55% of 11 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over3100% 3
4–71100% 1
8–101100% 1
11–141100% 1
18–2110% 0
22+60% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.