When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

13 games · 2025 · Nebraska · pick one to list those games
77% went over. Of the 10 overs, 10% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.

All 13 games

2025 · Nebraska · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Postseason
UTAH -13.5 51.5 21385266 Q3 UTAH Q3 22–44
2025 · Week 14
IOWA -5.5 38.5 20404956 Q2 IOWA Q2 40–16
2025 · Week 13
PSU -7.5 45.5 7264047 Q4 PSU Q2 10–37
2025 · Week 11
UCLA -2.5 45.5 7284249 Q4 NEB Q1
Late over
28–21
2025 · Week 10
USC -4.5 58.5 7202838 U NEB Q1 21–17
2025 · Week 9
NEB -7.5 44.5 10133449 Q4 NU Q4
Late over
21–28
2025 · Week 8
NEB -6.5 48.5 3132030 U MINN Q1 6–24
2025 · Week 7
NEB -6.5 47.5 7415565 Q3 MD Q3
Lead lost
34–31
2025 · Week 6
NEB -12.5 49.5 14214265 Q4 MSU Q2 27–38
2025 · Week 4
MICH -1.5 48.5 10344457 Q4 MICH Q3
Late over
30–27
HCU @ NEB
2025 · Week 3
NEB -46.5 57.5 17385966 Q3 NEB Q4 7–59
2025 · Week 2
NEB -33.5 47.5 9335468 Q3 NEB Q3 0–68
2025 · Week 1
NEB -5.5 50.5 3162337 U CIN Q3 20–17

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 23% 3
Q2 23% 3
Q3 38% 5
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 67% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over5100% 5
4–73100% 3
8–101100% 1
11–141100% 1
22+30% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.