When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Minnesota · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Minnesota · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
MINN -1.5 | 44.5 | 313132837 | U | MINN OT Late cover flip |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NU -4.5 | 41.5 | 10345673 | Q3 | MINN Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ORE -26.5 | 45.5 | 14344855 | Q3 | ORE Q4 | 13–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MINN -5.5 | 44.5 | 710173443 | U | MSU Q3 | 20–23 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 8 |
NEB -6.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | MINN Q1 | 6–24 |
2025 · Week 7 |
MINN -7.5 | 49.5 | 7303347 | U | PUR Q1 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 6 |
OSU -23.5 | 42.5 | 10243145 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
3–42 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MINN -3.5 | 51.5 | 7354559 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MINN -16.5 | 41.5 | 0132333 | U | BUFF Q1 | 10–23 |
UNM
MINN
WIS
NU
ORE
MSU
IOWA
NEB
PUR
OSU
RUTG
CAL
BUFFWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 58% 7
Q2 8% 1
Q3 17% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 83% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.