When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · LSU · pick one to list those games
31% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 75% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · LSU · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -1.5 | 43.5 | 21354973 | Q3 | HOU Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LSU -25.5 | 53.5 | 3101323 | U | WKU Q1 | 10–13 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LSU -4.5 | 58.5 | 14303845 | U | ARK Q1 | 22–23 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ALA -10.5 | 49.5 | 3202329 | U | ALA Q2 Late cover flip |
9–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TA&M -1.5 | 49.5 | 21325374 | Q3 | TA&M Q3 | 49–25 |
2025 · Week 8 |
VAN -1.5 | 48.5 | 10305255 | Q3 | VAN Q1 | 24–31 |
2025 · Week 7 |
LSU -8.5 | 44.5 | 10172730 | U | LSU Q4 Late cover flip |
10–20 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MISS -3.5 | 58.5 | 10243043 | U | MISS Q2 | 19–24 |
 SELA @  LSU2025 · Week 4 |
LSU -48.5 | 60.5 | 7354966 | Q4 | SELA Q1 Late cover flip |
10–56 |
2025 · Week 3 |
LSU -5.5 | 47.5 | 3233030 | U | LSU Q3 | 10–20 |
2025 · Week 2 |
LSU -36.5 | 49.5 | 7101730 | U | LT Q1 | 7–23 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CLEM -5.5 | 55.5 | 3132027 | U | LSU Q3 | 17–10 |
HOU
OU
WKU
ARK
ALA
TA&M
VAN
SC
MISS
FLA
LT
CLEMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 23% 3
Q3 23% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 50% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.