When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Louisiana · pick one to list those games
62% went over. Of the 8 overs, 13% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Louisiana · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
UL -1.5 | 60.5 | 7132633 | U | DEL Q1 | 13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARST -2.5 | 54.5 | 17515864 | Q3 | UL Q3 | 34–30 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TXST -3.5 | 63.5 | 17525581 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 39–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
USA -3.5 | 52.5 | 10314553 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 31–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TROY -7.5 | 47.5 | 14384858 | Q3 | TROY Q3 Late cover flip |
23–35 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USM -4.5 | 54.5 | 7203032 | U | USM Q2 | 22–10 |
2025 · Week 7 |
JMU -18.5 | 45.5 | 0212838 | U | UL Q1 | 14–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MRSH -1.5 | 48.5 | 6345482105 | Q3 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
51–54 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UL -1.5 | 51.5 | 14384565 | Q4 | EMU Q4 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MIZ -27.5 | 46.5 | 14485562 | Q2 | MIZ Q2 | 10–52 |
 MCN @  UL2025 · Week 2 |
UL -19.5 | 49.5 | 14242744 | U | UL Q4 Late cover flip |
10–34 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UL -9.5 | 48.5 | 3202626 | U | RICE Q1 | 14–12 |
DEL
ULM
ARST
TXST
USA
TROY
USM
JMU
MRSH
EMU
MIZ
RICEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 15% 2
Q3 15% 2
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.