When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Illinois · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Illinois · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
TENN -3 | 61.5 | 14173858 | U | ILL Q1 | 28–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ILL -8.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | WIS Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ILL -15.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | ILL Q4 Late cover flip |
6–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ILL -12.5 | 63.5 | 7274148 | U | ILL Q2 | 13–35 |
2025 · Week 9 |
WASH -3.5 | 54.5 | 17384567 | Q4 | WASH Q1 | 25–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
OSU -15.5 | 51.5 | 10233750 | U | OSU Q2 | 34–16 |
2025 · Week 6 |
ILL -7.5 | 55.5 | 7416170 | Q3 | ILL Q2 | 43–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
USC -6.5 | 62.5 | 14244166 | Q4 | ILL Q1 Late over |
32–34 |
2025 · Week 4 |
IU -7.5 | 50.5 | 21455973 | Q3 | IU Q2 | 10–63 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ILL -27.5 | 50.5 | 3102438 | U | ILL Q4 | 0–38 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ILL -2.5 | 49.5 | 10274764 | Q4 | ILL Q3 | 45–19 |
 WIU @  ILL2025 · Week 1 |
ILL -48.5 | 63.5 | 14313855 | U | ILL Q4 | 3–52 |
TENN
NU
WIS
MD
RUTG
WASH
OSU
PUR
USC
IU
WMU
DUKEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 31% 4
Q2 31% 4
Q3 8% 1
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 92% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 92% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 17% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.