When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Georgia Southern · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 14% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Georgia Southern · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
GASO -10 | 58.5 | 7203639 | U | GASO Q3 | 29–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MRSH -10.5 | 62.5 | 17203643 | U | GASO Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ODU -10.5 | 62.5 | 14314855 | U | ODU Q1 | 45–10 |
2025 · Week 12 |
GASO -3.5 | 58.5 | 38627585 | Q2 | GASO Q1 | 40–45 |
2025 · Week 11 |
APP -4.5 | 61.5 | 9223148 | U | GASO Q1 | 25–23 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ARST -1.5 | 59.5 | 21384558 | U | ARST Q3 | 24–34 |
2025 · Week 8 |
GASO -6.5 | 58.5 | 10304465 | Q4 | GASO Q4 Late over |
24–41 |
2025 · Week 7 |
USM -2.5 | 60.5 | 14355673 | Q4 | USM Q2 | 38–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
JMU -16.5 | 54.5 | 7244545 | U | JMU Q2 | 10–35 |
 ME @  GASO2025 · Week 4 |
GASO -20.5 | 57.5 | 14314862 | Q4 | GASO Q4 | 17–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
GASO -3.5 | 57.5 | 31556575 | Q3 | GASO Q4 | 34–41 |
2025 · Week 2 |
USC -28.5 | 62.5 | 27446579 | Q3 | USC Q4 | 20–59 |
2025 · Week 1 |
GASO -1.5 | 51.5 | 17274256 | Q4 | FRES Q1 | 14–42 |
APP
MRSH
ODU
CCU
ARST
GAST
USM
JMU
JXST
USC
FRESWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 38% 5
Q2 15% 2
Q3 15% 2
Q4 31% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 85% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.