When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Central Michigan · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Central Michigan · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
NU -13.5 | 43.5 | 0213441 | U | NU Q2 | 7–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TOL -10.5 | 46.5 | 031024 | U | TOL Q4 | 21–3 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7171744 | U | CMU Q2 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CMU -2.5 | 44.5 | 10243757 | Q4 | CMU Q1 | 19–38 |
2025 · Week 10 |
WMU -5.5 | 43.5 | 7212845 | Q4 | CMU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CMU -17.5 | 46.5 | 28345151 | Q3 | CMU Q3 | 13–38 |
2025 · Week 8 |
BGSU -3.5 | 44.5 | 3233333 | U | CMU Q1 | 27–6 |
2025 · Week 6 |
CMU -6.5 | 47.5 | 3244150 | Q4 | AKR Q1 Late over |
22–28 |
2025 · Week 5 |
CMU -3.5 | 55.5 | 17273437 | U | CMU Q1 | 13–24 |
 WAG @  CMU2025 · Week 4 |
CMU -30.5 | 46.5 | 14385259 | Q3 | CMU Q2 | 10–49 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MICH -27.5 | 42.5 | 14385266 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 3–63 |
2025 · Week 2 |
PITT -21.5 | 48.5 | 7344862 | Q4 | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
17–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
SJSU -14.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | CMU Q1 Lead lost |
16–14 |
NU
TOL
KENT
BUFF
WMU
MASS
BGSU
AKR
EMU
MICH
PITT
SJSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 31% 4
Q3 8% 1
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 92% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.