When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Army · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 20% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Army · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ARMY -7.5 | 45.5 | 0172727 | U | TEM Q1 | 13–14 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARMY -1.5 | 48.5 | 10132037 | U | ARMY Q4 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TULN -10.5 | 44.5 | 062041 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 7 |
ARMY -17.5 | 44.5 | 7172431 | U | CLT Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
ARMY -6.5 | 55.5 | 0172444 | U | ARMY Q3 | 31–13 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ECU -3.5 | 52.5 | 21212734 | U | ECU Q1 | 6–28 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UNT -2.5 | 50.5 | 2842527683 | Q3 | UNT OT | 45–38 |
2025 · Week 2 |
KSU -16.5 | 48.5 | 3203545 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
24–21 |
 TAR @  ARMY2025 · Week 1 |
ARMY -14.5 | 47.5 | 1027414857 | Q4 | TAR Q1 | 30–27 |
CONN
NAVY
UTSA
TLSA
TEM
AFA
TULN
CLT
UAB
ECU
UNT
KSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 8% 1
Q3 15% 2
Q4 23% 3
OT 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 58% and covered 67% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 64% and covered 55% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.