When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Arkansas State · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Arkansas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
ARST -1.5 | 55.5 | 21313862 | Q4 | ARST Q1 Late over |
28–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARST -2.5 | 54.5 | 17515864 | Q3 | UL Q3 | 34–30 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USM -6.5 | 54.5 | 17242748 | U | ARST Q4 Late cover flip |
27–21 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TROY -7.5 | 52.5 | 17202333 | U | ARST Q1 | 23–10 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ARST -1.5 | 59.5 | 21384558 | U | ARST Q3 | 24–34 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USA -8.5 | 57.5 | 7101729 | U | ARST Q4 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TXST -14.5 | 63.5 | 14202061 | U | ARST Q1 | 30–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ULM -1.5 | 55.5 | 10243444 | U | ULM Q2 | 16–28 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARST -4.5 | 58.5 | 21284249 | U | KENN Q1 | 21–28 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ISU -20.5 | 55.5 | 9273040 | U | ARST Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ARK -24.5 | 61.5 | 35496370 | Q3 | ARK Q3 | 14–56 |
 SEMO @  ARST2025 · Week 1 |
ARST -15.5 | 59.5 | 14384566 | Q4 | ARST Q2 Late over |
24–42 |
MOST
APP
UL
USM
TROY
GASO
USA
TXST
ULM
KENN
ISU
ARKWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 15% 2
Q3 23% 3
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 55% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.