When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Arizona State · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 5 overs, 20% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Arizona State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
DUKE -4 | 49.5 | 28526781 | Q2 | ASU Q3 Lead lost |
39–42 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 48.5 | 0102030 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 23–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ASU -6.5 | 47.5 | 10203859 | Q4 | ASU Q4 | 42–17 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ASU -9.5 | 46.5 | 3323248 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–25 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ISU -8.5 | 48.5 | 6334343 | U | ASU Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ASU -7.5 | 47.5 | 10102440 | U | HOU Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TTU -8.5 | 52.5 | 3162348 | U | ASU Q1 | 22–26 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UTAH -8.5 | 42.5 | 10244552 | Q3 | UTAH Q2 | 10–42 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ASU -2.5 | 54.5 | 7314151 | U | ASU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BAY -1.5 | 61.5 | 6202351 | U | ASU Q1 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ASU -18.5 | 61.5 | 6234349 | U | ASU Q3 | 15–34 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ASU -5.5 | 58.5 | 10202744 | U | MSST Q1 | 20–24 |
 NAU @  ASU2025 · Week 1 |
ASU -29.5 | 52.5 | 14234457 | Q4 | NAU Q1 Late over |
19–38 |
DUKE
ARIZ
COLO
WVU
ISU
HOU
TTU
UTAH
TCU
BAY
TXST
MSSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 8% 1
Q3 23% 3
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 58% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 69% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.