When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Arizona · pick one to list those games
31% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Arizona · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
SMU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14243043 | U | SMU Q1 | 19–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 48.5 | 0102030 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 23–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 60.5 | 21313858 | U | ARIZ Q4 | 17–41 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CIN -6.5 | 56.5 | 21243754 | U | ARIZ Q2 | 30–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 56.5 | 14313744 | U | KU Q1 Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARIZ -3.5 | 51.5 | 17456669 | Q3 | ARIZ Q1 | 52–17 |
2025 · Week 8 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 47.5 | 21354259 | Q4 | HOU Q2 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 46.5 | 2131314860 | Q4 | BYU OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
33–27 |
2025 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -23.5 | 56.5 | 17304454 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 13–41 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ISU -4.5 | 48.5 | 8295053 | Q3 | ISU Q1 | 14–39 |
2025 · Week 3 |
KSU -1.5 | 56.5 | 10203740 | U | ARIZ Q1 | 17–23 |
 WEB @  ARIZ2025 · Week 2 |
ARIZ -31.5 | 56.5 | 24344851 | U | ARIZ Q2 | 3–48 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -15.5 | 55.5 | 10233746 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 6–40 |
SMU
ASU
BAY
CIN
KU
COLO
HOU
BYU
OKST
ISU
KSU
HAWWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 38% 5
Q2 23% 3
Q3 23% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 62% and covered 69% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 92% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.