When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · West Virginia · pick one to list those games
69% went over. Of the 9 overs, 11% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · West Virginia · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
MEM -5.5 | 60.5 | 7455879 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
42–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TTU -2.5 | 61.5 | 9385167 | Q4 | TTU Q1 Late over |
15–52 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UCF -3.5 | 60.5 | 14284252 | U | WVU Q1 | 21–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BAY -1.5 | 57.5 | 21636384 | Q2 | BAY Q1 | 49–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CIN -5.5 | 54.5 | 7243855 | Q4 | WVU Q2 Late over |
31–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 51.5 | 10243757 | Q4 | WVU Q1 Late over |
31–26 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 13274163 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 45–18 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 7242444 | U | ISU Q2 | 28–16 |
2024 · Week 6 |
OKST -2.5 | 64.5 | 10383852 | U | WVU Q1 | 38–14 |
2024 · Week 4 |
WVU -1.5 | 56.5 | 7213860 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–32 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WVU -1.5 | 61.5 | 17344872 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–38 |
 ALB @  WVU2024 · Week 2 |
WVU -37.5 | 52.5 | 14425663 | Q3 | ALB Q1 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 1 |
PSU -7.5 | 48.5 | 0263346 | U | PSU Q2 | 34–12 |
MEM
TTU
UCF
BAY
CIN
ARIZ
KSU
ISU
OKST
KU
PITT
PSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 23% 3
Q3 0% 0
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 83% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.