When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · UNLV · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 38% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · UNLV · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
UNLV -3.5 | 44.5 | 17273437 | U | UNLV Q3 | 13–24 |
2024 · Week 15 |
BOIS -3.5 | 57.5 | 7212128 | U | BOIS Q1 | 7–21 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNLV -17.5 | 54.5 | 17313852 | U | UNLV Q3 | 14–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNLV -7.5 | 59.5 | 3263643 | U | UNLV Q4 | 27–16 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UNLV -19.5 | 54.5 | 7345161 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 | 20–41 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UNLV -12.5 | 50.5 | 19224256 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
29–27 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BOIS -3.5 | 62.5 | 13304753 | U | BOIS Q4 | 29–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNLV -6.5 | 61.5 | 6334058 | U | UNLV Q4 | 33–25 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNLV -18.5 | 66.5 | 21486884 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
50–34 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UNLV -5.5 | 54.5 | 1438627685 | Q3 | SYR Q1 | 44–41 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNLV -2.5 | 49.5 | 14213873 | Q4 | UNLV Q1 | 14–59 |
2024 · Week 3 |
KU -10.5 | 57.5 | 10303343 | U | UNLV Q1 Lead lost |
23–20 |
 UTU @  UNLV2024 · Week 2 |
UNLV -41.5 | 55.5 | 35516586 | Q3 | UNLV Q4 | 14–72 |
CAL
BOIS
NEV
SJSU
SDSU
HAW
ORST
USU
SYR
FRES
KUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 38% 5
Q2 8% 1
Q3 15% 2
Q4 38% 5
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 54% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 67% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.