When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Texas State · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Texas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
TXST -15.5 | 66.5 | 13303758 | U | UNT Q1 | 28–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TXST -2.5 | 60.5 | 28496683 | Q3 | TXST Q4 | 45–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TXST -22.5 | 59.5 | 28596696 | Q3 | GAST Q1 | 52–44 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TXST -27.5 | 55.5 | 21375461 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 3–58 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TXST -9.5 | 49.5 | 14284255 | Q4 | TXST Q1 Late over |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TXST -3.5 | 61.5 | 13203140 | U | UL Q1 | 23–17 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TXST -10.5 | 59.5 | 7142138 | U | ODU Q1 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TXST -13.5 | 66.5 | 17264050 | U | TXST Q3 | 9–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TXST -14.5 | 55.5 | 14385555 | U | TXST Q2 | 38–17 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TXST -10.5 | 54.5 | 22537379 | Q3 | SHSU Q3 Lead lost |
39–40 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TXST -2.5 | 58.5 | 14425659 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 31–28 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TXST -2.5 | 58.5 | 17385259 | Q4 | TXST Q1 | 10–49 |
UNT
TXST
USA
GAST
USM
ULM
UL
ODU
ARST
TROY
SHSU
ASU
UTSAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 58% 7
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.