When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · SMU · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · SMU · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7283448 | U | PSU Q2 | 10–38 |
2024 · Week 15 |
SMU -2.5 | 56.5 | 28314565 | Q4 | CLEM Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SMU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14212444 | U | SMU Q1 | 6–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
SMU -10.5 | 53.5 | 7172040 | U | SMU Q2 | 33–7 |
2024 · Week 12 |
SMU -19.5 | 53.5 | 10345266 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 28–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
SMU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10344573 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 25–48 |
2024 · Week 9 |
SMU -11.5 | 50.5 | 721344255 | OT | DUKE Q1 Late over |
28–27 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SMU -16.5 | 52.5 | 21384150 | U | SMU Q1 | 40–10 |
2024 · Week 6 |
LOU -6.5 | 55.5 | 24375461 | Q4 | SMU Q1 | 34–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SMU -5.5 | 46.5 | 14234458 | Q4 | SMU Q3 | 16–42 |
2024 · Week 2 |
SMU -12.5 | 55.5 | 7162733 | U | BYU Q1 | 18–15 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SMU -27.5 | 55.5 | 7273753 | U | NEV Q1 Lead lost |
29–24 |
SMU
PSU
CLEM
CAL
UVA
BC
PITT
DUKE
STAN
LOU
FSU
BYU
NEVWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 25% 3
Q3 8% 1
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.