When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Rutgers · pick one to list those games
69% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 44% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Rutgers · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MSU -1.5 | 46.5 | 17303855 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 13 |
RUTG -2.5 | 47.5 | 3263269 | Q4 | ILL Q3 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MD -4.5 | 54.5 | 3243848 | U | RUTG Q1 | 31–17 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MINN -6.5 | 44.5 | 16233045 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Late over |
19–26 |
2024 · Week 9 |
USC -13.5 | 55.5 | 17406262 | Q3 | USC Q2 | 20–42 |
2024 · Week 8 |
RUTG -4.5 | 42.5 | 14314767 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 35–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
RUTG -1.5 | 43.5 | 14142849 | Q4 | WIS Q1 Late over |
42–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NEB -5.5 | 40.5 | 7141421 | U | NEB Q1 | 7–14 |
2024 · Week 5 |
RUTG -1.5 | 44.5 | 3172439 | U | RUTG Q2 | 18–21 |
2024 · Week 4 |
VT -3.5 | 44.5 | 14233049 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 2 |
RUTG -24.5 | 41.5 | 7244566 | Q3 | RUTG Q3 | 17–49 |
 HOW @  RUTG2024 · Week 1 |
RUTG -38.5 | 51.5 | 7243851 | U | HOW Q1 | 7–44 |
KSU
MSU
ILL
MD
MINN
USC
UCLA
WIS
NEB
WASH
VT
AKRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 69% 9
Q2 15% 2
Q3 15% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 85% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 77% and covered 77% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.