When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Pittsburgh · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Pittsburgh · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PITT -6.5 | 48.5 | 832436094 | Q4 | TOL Q1 | 46–48 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BC -3.5 | 50.5 | 6304457 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 23–34 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LOU -7.5 | 57.5 | 10274446 | U | LOU Q1 | 9–37 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CLEM -12.5 | 50.5 | 14242444 | U | PITT Q1 | 24–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
PITT -7.5 | 56.5 | 0203443 | U | UVA Q1 | 24–19 |
2024 · Week 10 |
SMU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10344573 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 25–48 |
2024 · Week 9 |
PITT -4.5 | 62.5 | 17313754 | U | PITT Q1 | 13–41 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PITT -3.5 | 56.5 | 13262632 | U | CAL Q4 | 15–17 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PITT -2.5 | 61.5 | 10344858 | U | PITT Q4 | 34–24 |
 YSU @  PITT2024 · Week 4 |
PITT -29.5 | 59.5 | 21526990 | Q3 | PITT Q2 | 17–73 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WVU -1.5 | 61.5 | 17344872 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
PITT -2.5 | 62.5 | 17234055 | U | CIN Q1 Lead lost |
28–27 |
2024 · Week 1 |
PITT -23.5 | 54.5 | 21426679 | Q3 | PITT Q4 | 24–55 |
TOL
BC
LOU
CLEM
UVA
SMU
SYR
CAL
UNC
WVU
CIN
KENTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 15% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.