When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Ole Miss · pick one to list those games
23% went over. Of the 3 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 67% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Ole Miss · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
MISS -14.5 | 50.5 | 14314572 | Q4 | MISS Q2 | 20–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MISS -26.5 | 63.5 | 24313440 | U | MSST Q1 | 14–26 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MISS -13.5 | 57.5 | 0283441 | U | FLA Q1 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UGA -1.5 | 54.5 | 17233238 | U | MISS Q1 | 10–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MISS -7.5 | 54.5 | 10458094 | Q3 | MISS Q2 | 63–31 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MISS -19.5 | 50.5 | 14243740 | U | OU Q1 | 14–26 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MISS -3.5 | 64.5 | 030364655 | U | LSU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
26–29 |
2024 · Week 6 |
MISS -10.5 | 51.5 | 14273030 | U | MISS Q1 | 27–3 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MISS -15.5 | 51.5 | 10173037 | U | UK Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MISS -35.5 | 68.5 | 17314865 | U | MISS Q4 | 13–52 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MISS -20.5 | 65.5 | 23293646 | U | MISS Q3 | 40–6 |
2024 · Week 2 |
MISS -42.5 | 60.5 | 17344855 | U | MISS Q4 | 3–52 |
 FUR @  MISS2024 · Week 1 |
MISS -45.5 | 58.5 | 24527376 | Q3 | MISS Q2 | 0–76 |
DUKE
MSST
FLA
UGA
ARK
OU
LSU
SC
UK
GASO
WAKE
MTSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 23% 3
Q3 8% 1
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 67% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 7 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.