When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Northern Illinois · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Northern Illinois · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NIU -16.5 | 41.5 | 19374040 | U | CMU Q2 | 16–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 42.5 | 7202029 | U | M-OH Q1 | 9–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
NIU -14.5 | 43.5 | 23393945 | Q4 | AKR Q1 | 16–29 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NIU -2.5 | 51.5 | 7356370 | Q3 | NIU Q2 | 42–28 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NIU -13.5 | 47.5 | 14333348 | Q4 | BALL Q1 Late over |
23–25 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NIU -3.5 | 42.5 | 3131619 | U | TOL Q1 | 13–6 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BGSU -3.5 | 46.5 | 10131324 | U | NIU Q2 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NIU -13.5 | 40.5 | 14202654 | Q4 | NIU Q4 Late over |
20–34 |
2024 · Week 5 |
NCSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 14313841 | U | NIU Q4 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 4 |
NIU -12.5 | 42.5 | 717244043 | OT | BUFF Q1 Late over |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ND -28.5 | 46.5 | 17202730 | U | NIU Q1 Lead lost |
16–14 |
 WIU @  NIU2024 · Week 1 |
NIU -36.5 | 55.5 | 9375569 | Q4 | NIU Q3 | 15–54 |
FRES
CMU
M-OH
AKR
WMU
BALL
TOL
BGSU
MASS
NCSU
BUFF
NDWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 23% 3
Q3 8% 1
Q4 15% 2
OT 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 46% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 73% and covered 45% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.