When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Memphis · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Memphis · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
MEM -5.5 | 60.5 | 7455879 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
42–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TULN -12.5 | 54.5 | 17273458 | Q4 | MEM Q1 Late over |
34–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MEM -17.5 | 60.5 | 11263671 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late over |
18–53 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MEM -7.5 | 50.5 | 6303047 | U | RICE Q1 Late cover flip |
20–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MEM -7.5 | 61.5 | 24485880 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 36–44 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MEM -16.5 | 55.5 | 7142861 | Q4 | CLT Q1 Late over |
28–33 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MEM -10.5 | 67.5 | 35526696 | Q4 | UNT Q1 Late cover flip |
44–52 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MEM -10.5 | 58.5 | 14171724 | U | MEM Q1 | 21–3 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MEM -27.5 | 60.5 | 0143131 | U | MTSU Q1 | 7–24 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MEM -8.5 | 46.5 | 214565100 | Q3 | NAVY Q1 | 44–56 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FSU -6.5 | 54.5 | 3162932 | U | MEM Q1 | 20–12 |
2024 · Week 2 |
MEM -18.5 | 57.5 | 7284155 | U | MEM Q3 | 17–38 |
 UNA @  MEM2024 · Week 1 |
MEM -38.5 | 62.5 | 7313440 | U | MEM Q4 | 0–40 |
WVU
TULN
UAB
RICE
UTSA
CLT
UNT
USF
MTSU
NAVY
FSU
TROYWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 69% 9
Q2 0% 0
Q3 8% 1
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 62% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 33% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.