When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Kansas State · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Kansas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ISU -2.5 | 51.5 | 14384550 | U | ISU Q2 | 21–29 |
2024 · Week 13 |
KSU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10303656 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 15–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 7213038 | U | ASU Q1 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 10 |
KSU -9.5 | 44.5 | 3262943 | U | HOU Q1 Lead lost |
19–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
KSU -9.5 | 55.5 | 7305056 | Q4 | KU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–29 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 13274163 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 45–18 |
2024 · Week 7 |
KSU -3.5 | 54.5 | 14213859 | Q4 | COLO Q4 Late over |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 5 |
KSU -5.5 | 58.5 | 10344862 | Q4 | KSU Q2 Late over |
20–42 |
2024 · Week 4 |
KSU -7.5 | 48.5 | 3234047 | U | BYU Q1 | 9–38 |
2024 · Week 3 |
KSU -9.5 | 61.5 | 14213538 | U | KSU Q3 | 7–31 |
2024 · Week 2 |
KSU -9.5 | 46.5 | 10304061 | Q4 | TULN Q1 | 34–27 |
 UTM @  KSU2024 · Week 1 |
KSU -36.5 | 56.5 | 14203347 | U | UTM Q1 | 6–41 |
RUTG
ISU
CIN
ASU
HOU
KU
WVU
COLO
OKST
BYU
ARIZ
TULNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 69% 9
Q2 15% 2
Q3 8% 1
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 69% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 75% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.