When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Georgia Southern · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Georgia Southern · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
GASO -3.5 | 48.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | SHSU Q1 Late over |
26–31 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GASO -2.5 | 60.5 | 8212849 | U | GASO Q4 Late cover flip |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CCU -1.5 | 59.5 | 13161932 | U | GASO Q1 | 26–6 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GASO -7.5 | 53.5 | 7173148 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
USA -5.5 | 59.5 | 10274464 | Q4 | GASO Q4 | 34–30 |
2024 · Week 9 |
GASO -0.5 | 51.5 | 13375766 | Q3 | ODU Q1 | 19–47 |
2024 · Week 8 |
JMU -8.5 | 57.5 | 7213542 | U | GASO Q1 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GASO -1.5 | 57.5 | 9192647 | U | MRSH Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
2024 · Week 5 |
GAST -3.5 | 56.5 | 21315259 | Q4 | GASO Q1 Late over |
38–21 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MISS -35.5 | 68.5 | 17314865 | U | MISS Q4 | 13–52 |
 SCST @  GASO2024 · Week 3 |
GASO -27.5 | 52.5 | 7284956 | Q4 | GASO Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
14–42 |
2024 · Week 2 |
NEV -1.5 | 56.5 | 21313737 | U | GASO Q2 | 20–17 |
2024 · Week 1 |
BOIS -12.5 | 57.5 | 144466101 | Q3 | GASO Q2 Late cover flip |
56–45 |
SHSU
APP
CCU
TROY
USA
ODU
JMU
MRSH
GAST
MISS
NEV
BOISWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 15% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 31% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 85% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 77% and covered 77% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.