When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Alabama · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Alabama · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
ALA -16.5 | 45.5 | 16262632 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ALA -10.5 | 50.5 | 7204242 | U | ALA Q3 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ALA -14.5 | 46.5 | 3132727 | U | OU Q1 | 3–24 |
 MER @  ALA2024 · Week 12 |
ALA -42.5 | 58.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | ALA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ALA -2.5 | 57.5 | 17273455 | U | ALA Q1 | 42–13 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ALA -16.5 | 51.5 | 3132734 | U | ALA Q3 | 0–34 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ALA -3.5 | 57.5 | 072441 | U | TENN Q3 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ALA -19.5 | 49.5 | 7263352 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ALA -22.5 | 53.5 | 20375875 | Q3 | VAN Q1 | 35–40 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UGA -1.5 | 50.5 | 21374875 | Q4 | ALA Q1 | 34–41 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ALA -15.5 | 47.5 | 10244552 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 42–10 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ALA -33.5 | 65.5 | 10202758 | U | USF Q1 | 16–42 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ALA -37.5 | 60.5 | 21425663 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 0–63 |
MICH
AUB
OU
LSU
MIZ
TENN
SC
VAN
UGA
WIS
USF
WKUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 15% 2
Q3 23% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 92% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.