When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Stanford · pick one to list those games
42% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Stanford · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
ND -26 | 50 | 20446579 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 56–23 |
2023 · Week 12 |
CAL -6.5 | 53 | 10203642 | U | CAL Q4 | 27–15 |
2023 · Week 11 |
ORST -21.5 | 52 | 21447279 | Q3 | ORST Q2 | 17–62 |
2023 · Week 10 |
WSU -14 | 58 | 071417 | U | STAN Q1 | 10–7 |
2023 · Week 9 |
WASH -27.5 | 62 | 7345475 | Q4 | STAN Q1 | 42–33 |
2023 · Week 8 |
UCLA -17 | 52 | 14214249 | U | UCLA Q2 | 42–7 |
2023 · Week 7 |
COLO -13.5 | 57.5 | 1429487289 | Q4 | STAN Q3 Lead lost |
46–43 |
2023 · Week 5 |
ORE -27 | 59.5 | 3204148 | U | ORE Q3 | 42–6 |
2023 · Week 4 |
ARIZ -13 | 60 | 3173141 | U | STAN Q1 | 21–20 |
2023 · Week 3 |
STAN -7 | 60.5 | 10313753 | U | SAC Q1 Lead lost |
30–23 |
2023 · Week 2 |
USC -28.5 | 70.5 | 21525266 | U | USC Q2 | 10–56 |
2023 · Week 1 |
STAN -9.5 | 58.5 | 7313761 | Q4 | STAN Q2 Late over |
37–24 |
ND
STAN
CAL
ORST
WSU
WASH
UCLA
COLO
ORE
ARIZ
SAC
USC
HAWWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 33% 4
Q3 25% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.