When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2023 · Hawai'i · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2023 · Hawai'i · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
CSU -5.5 | 53.5 | 14243151 | U | HAW Q1 | 24–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
WYO -13.5 | 45 | 14354451 | Q4 | WYO Q1 Late over |
9–42 |
2023 · Week 11 |
AFA -20 | 46 | 7163040 | U | HAW Q1 | 13–27 |
2023 · Week 10 |
NEV -3 | 50 | 0173841 | U | HAW Q1 | 27–14 |
2023 · Week 9 |
SJSU -10.5 | 57 | 7212835 | U | SJSU Q2 | 35–0 |
2023 · Week 8 |
HAW -1.5 | 60 | 21424963 | Q4 | UNM Q1 Late over |
21–42 |
2023 · Week 7 |
SDSU -6.5 | 53.5 | 10314475 | Q4 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
41–34 |
2023 · Week 5 |
UNLV -10.5 | 58 | 7234064 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 | 20–44 |
2023 · Week 4 |
HAW -3.5 | 55 | 7202737 | U | NMSU Q1 | 17–20 |
2023 · Week 3 |
ORE -37.5 | 67.5 | 24375165 | U | ORE Q3 | 10–55 |
 ALB @  HAW2023 · Week 2 |
HAW -11 | 58.5 | 17344451 | U | Push Late cover flip |
20–31 |
2023 · Week 1 |
STAN -9.5 | 58.5 | 7313761 | Q4 | STAN Q2 Late over |
37–24 |
2023 · Week 1 |
VAN -17 | 54.5 | 21354263 | Q4 | HAW Q1 | 28–35 |
CSU
WYO
AFA
NEV
SJSU
UNM
SDSU
UNLV
NMSU
ORE
STAN
VANWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 23% 3
Q3 8% 1
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 77% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.