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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Georgia Southern ✕

When did they go over?

13 games · 2023 · Georgia Southern · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games13100%By halftime00%In Q318%In Q4646%In OT00%Stayed under646%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands00%Over cashed18%Leader lost the game00%
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.

All 13 games

2023 · Georgia Southern · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2023 · Postseason
 GASO -2 48.5 3204862 Q4 OHIO Q1 21–41
2023 · Week 13
 APP -10 63 17445882 Q4 APP Q3 27–55
2023 · Week 12
 GASO -5.5 62.5 0172737 U ODU Q1 20–17
2023 · Week 11
 GASO -1 56.5 13375071 Q4 MRSH Q4 33–38
2023 · Week 10
 TXST -2.5 68.5 17416269 Q4 TXST Q2 24–45
2023 · Week 9
 GAST PK 63 17345571 Q4 GASO Q1 27–44
2023 · Week 8
 GASO -16.5 60.5 14454866 Q4 ULM Q3
Late over
 28–38
2023 · Week 7
 JMU -5.5 59.5 14264754 U JMU Q1 13–41
2023 · Week 5
 GASO -6 67.5 7355966 U GASO Q2 28–38
2023 · Week 4
 GASO -5.5 60 14233343 U GASO Q1 40–3
2023 · Week 3
 WIS -20.5 65.5 0144249 U WIS Q4 14–35
2023 · Week 2
 GASO -7 63 14506484 Q3 GASO Q4 35–49
CIT @ GASO
2023 · Week 1
 GASO -34 53.5 14243134 U Push 0–34
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 38% 5
Q2 15% 2
Q3 15% 2
Q4 23% 3
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 77% of 13 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over1100% 1
1–31100% 1
4–73100% 3
8–10250% 1
11–14250% 1
22+40% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.