When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2023 · Georgia · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 13 games
2023 · Georgia · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
UGA -23.5 | 47 | 7455966 | Q3 | UGA Q2 | 63–3 |
2023 · Week 14 |
UGA -5.5 | 53.5 | 10243051 | U | ALA Q1 | 24–27 |
2023 · Week 13 |
UGA -24.5 | 59.5 | 17344454 | U | GT Q1 | 31–23 |
2023 · Week 12 |
UGA -9 | 59 | 17344848 | U | UGA Q2 | 38–10 |
2023 · Week 11 |
UGA -11 | 58.5 | 21425269 | Q4 | UGA Q2 | 17–52 |
2023 · Week 10 |
UGA -14 | 54 | 10203751 | U | MIZ Q1 | 21–30 |
2023 · Week 9 |
UGA -14 | 50 | 17334363 | Q4 | UGA Q2 | 43–20 |
2023 · Week 7 |
UGA -33.5 | 55.5 | 14313457 | Q4 | VAN Q1 Late over |
37–20 |
2023 · Week 5 |
UGA -14 | 44.5 | 10203447 | Q4 | AUB Q1 Late over |
27–20 |
2023 · Week 4 |
UGA -40 | 56 | 7425670 | Q4 | UAB Q1 | 21–49 |
2023 · Week 3 |
UGA -26 | 54 | 10173138 | U | SC Q1 | 14–24 |
2023 · Week 2 |
UGA -42 | 52.5 | 0314548 | U | Push | 3–45 |
 UTM @  UGA2023 · Week 1 |
UGA -50 | 56.5 | 7173155 | U | UTM Q1 | 7–48 |
FSU
ALA
GT
TENN
MISS
MIZ
FLA
VAN
AUB
UAB
SC
BALLWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 31% 4
Q3 0% 0
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 55% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 42% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.