Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM ETMabee Center · at Oral Roberts

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Texas A&M-CC and Oral Roberts
AMCC	This season	ORU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects AMCC 72–71 · win probability AMCC 55%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 142.7

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 5, ORU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

AMCCBig

Three-pointers

AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%. Threes are 31.4% and 45.6% of their shots

AMCCBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, ORU 28.4%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, ORU 68.2%

AMCCBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, ORU 18.4%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, ORU 14.7%

AMCCSmall

ORU offense vs AMCC defense

Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings

AMCCSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), ORU 69.7 (134th). Faster games mean more points

ORUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, ORU 54%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, ORU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

ORUSmall

Home court

ORU at home. This season: ORU 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, ORU 34.8. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, ORU 39.1

Even

AMCC offense vs ORU defense

Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, ORU the 246th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	AMCC -1.4	—
Total	—	142.7	—
Projected score	—	AMCC 72 · ORU 70.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	AMCC -0.9	—
1H total	66.8	—
1H projected score	AMCC 33.9 · ORU 32.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AMCC WWWWW	16-13	55%	9-7	—
ORU WWWWW	14-16	47%	5-7	—

Venue/role: AMCC away; ORU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
AMCC OUOUU	14-15	48%	14-15
ORU UOOUU	13-17	43%	7-23

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AMCC	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
ORU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Texas A&M-CC

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 23	@ WICH	No recent meeting
Dec 5	@ NICH	W83–76WO
Dec 7	@ NOLA	W74–61WU

Oral Roberts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ UTA	L57–69LU
Nov 27	vs MOST	L62–63WU
Dec 1	@ CREI	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Texas A&M-CC

29 games played

Straight up

14-15

48% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-15

48% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-1548%

L L L L L W L L W W W L W W L W L W L W L W L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1355%

W L L W L W L L W W W L W W L W L L L W L W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1548%

U O U U O U U O O U O O U U U O U O U O O O O U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 6	@SMU	L 58-69	+23.5	W +12.5	160.5	U 127
Nov 8	@TAR	L 77-85	+3.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 162
Nov 11	@KU	L 46-77	+25.5	L −5.5	145.5	U 123
Nov 16	@OKST	L 69-85	+20.5	W +4.5	154.5	U 154
Nov 28	@XAV	L 67-88	+13.5	L −7.5	146.5	O 155
Dec 6	@LAM	W 57-49	+3.5	W +11.5	136.5	U 106
Dec 17	@SFA	L 60-69	+6.5	L −2.5	139.5	U 129
Dec 29	vsNICH	L 71-76	-5.5	L −10.5	137.5	O 147
Dec 31	vsNOLA	W 83-69	-4.5	W +9.5	142.5	O 152
Jan 3	@RGV	W 63-59	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	U 122
Jan 5	@HCU	W 81-65	-3.5	W +12.5	132.5	O 146
Jan 10	@NWST	L 78-79	-5.5	L −6.5	138.5	O 157
Jan 12	@ETAM	W 61-50	-3.5	W +7.5	142.5	U 111
Jan 17	vsSELA	W 68-56	-5.5	W +6.5	130.5	U 124
Jan 19	vsMCN	L 53-69	+9.5	L −6.5	140.5	U 122
Jan 24	@UIW	W 79-71	+1.5	W +9.5	136.5	O 150
Jan 26	vsRGV	L 55-64	-2.5	L −11.5	135.5	U 119
Jan 31	vsHCU	W 73-71	-7.5	L −5.5	135.5	O 144
Feb 2	vsUIW	L 69-71	-4.5	L −6.5	140.5	U 140
Feb 7	@NICH	W 83-76	+1.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 159
Feb 9	@NOLA	L 78-84	-1.5	L −7.5	146.5	O 162
Feb 14	vsLAM	W 76-63	-2.5	W +10.5	135.5	O 139
Feb 16	vsSFA	L 68-78	+5.5	L −4.5	135.5	O 146
Feb 21	@MCN	L 54-70	+14.5	L −1.5	139.5	U 124
Feb 23	@SELA	W 73-68	-1.5	W +3.5	130.5	O 141
Feb 28	vsNWST	W 71-59	-5.5	W +6.5	134.5	U 130
Mar 2	vsETAM	W 84-71	-7.5	W +5.5	136.5	O 155
Mar 9	vsNOLA	W 74-61	-2.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 135
Mar 10	vsSFA	L 58-60	+6.5	W +4.5	135.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SMU

L 58-69

+12.5

TAR

L 77-85

−4.5

L 46-77

−5.5

OKST

L 69-85

+4.5

XAV

L 67-88

−7.5

LAM

W 57-49

+11.5

SFA

L 60-69

−2.5

NICH

L 71-76

−10.5

NOLA

W 83-69

+9.5

RGV

W 63-59

+6.5

HCU

W 81-65

+12.5

NWST

L 78-79

−6.5

ETAM

W 61-50

+7.5

SELA

W 68-56

+6.5

MCN

L 53-69

−6.5

UIW

W 79-71

+9.5

RGV

L 55-64

−11.5

HCU

W 73-71

−5.5

UIW

L 69-71

−6.5

NICH

W 83-76

+8.5

NOLA

L 78-84

−7.5

LAM

W 76-63

+10.5

SFA

L 68-78

−4.5

MCN

L 54-70

−1.5

SELA

W 73-68

+3.5

NWST

W 71-59

+6.5

ETAM

W 84-71

+5.5

NOLA

W 74-61

+10.5

SFA

L 58-60

+4.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SMU

L 58-69

−33.5

TAR

L 77-85

+19.5

L 46-77

−22.5

OKST

L 69-85

−0.5

XAV

L 67-88

+8.5

LAM

W 57-49

−30.5

SFA

L 60-69

−10.5

NICH

L 71-76

+9.5

NOLA

W 83-69

+9.5

RGV

W 63-59

−15.5

HCU

W 81-65

+13.5

NWST

L 78-79

+18.5

ETAM

W 61-50

−31.5

SELA

W 68-56

−6.5

MCN

L 53-69

−18.5

UIW

W 79-71

+13.5

RGV

L 55-64

−16.5

HCU

W 73-71

+8.5

UIW

L 69-71

−0.5

NICH

W 83-76

+21.5

NOLA

L 78-84

+15.5

LAM

W 76-63

+3.5

SFA

L 68-78

+10.5

MCN

L 54-70

−15.5

SELA

W 73-68

+10.5

NWST

W 71-59

−4.5

ETAM

W 84-71

+18.5

NOLA

W 74-61

−12.5

SFA

L 58-60

−17.5

over 14under 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Oral Roberts

30 games played

Straight up

7-23

23% wins

Against the spread

14-16

47% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-17

43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2323%

L L L L L W L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1647%

L W L W W W L L W W W L L W L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1743%

O O U U O O U O U U U U U O O O U U U U O O U O U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	vsRICE	L 62-81	+5.5	L −13.5	150.5	U 143
Dec 3	@WEB	L 66-92	+7.5	L −18.5	157.5	O 158
Dec 6	vsMTST	W 72-68	+6.5	W +10.5	150.5	U 140
Dec 16	@MOST	L 62-63	+4.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 125
Dec 18	@TCU	L 53-72	+23.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 125
Dec 22	vsUTA	L 57-69	+3.5	L −8.5	136.5	U 126
Jan 1	@UND	L 61-72	+1.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 133
Jan 3	@NDSU	L 77-79	+13.5	W +11.5	146.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsSTMN	L 71-82	+8.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 153
Jan 14	@DEN	L 87-98	+6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 185
Jan 17	vsOMA	L 62-73	-1.5	L −12.5	149.5	U 135
Jan 22	vsUND	L 62-79	-1.5	L −18.5	149.5	U 141
Jan 24	vsNDSU	L 58-86	+10.5	L −17.5	151.5	U 144
Jan 29	@SDAK	L 69-77	+3.5	L −4.5	154.5	U 146
Jan 31	@SDST	L 72-95	+13.5	L −9.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 7	@STMN	L 75-92	+15.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 167
Feb 12	vsKC	W 69-60	-6.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSDST	L 69-87	+5.5	L −12.5	147.5	O 156
Feb 18	@OMA	L 71-80	+6.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 151
Feb 21	vsSDAK	W 67-62	-1.5	W +3.5	151.5	U 129
Feb 26	vsDEN	W 102-80	+2.5	W +24.5	156.5	O 182
Feb 28	@KC	W 94-70	-3.5	W +20.5	149.5	O 164
Mar 4	vsKC	W 84-62	-8.5	W +13.5	149.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsNDSU	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	147.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

RICE

L 62-81

−13.5

WEB

L 66-92

−18.5

MTST

W 72-68

+10.5

MOST

L 62-63

+3.5

TCU

L 53-72

+4.5

UTA

L 57-69

−8.5

UND

L 61-72

−9.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+11.5

STMN

L 71-82

−2.5

DEN

L 87-98

−4.5

OMA

L 62-73

−12.5

UND

L 62-79

−18.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−17.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−4.5

SDST

L 72-95

−9.5

STMN

L 75-92

−1.5

W 69-60

+2.5

SDST

L 69-87

−12.5

OMA

L 71-80

−2.5

SDAK

W 67-62

+3.5

DEN

W 102-80

+24.5

W 94-70

+20.5

W 84-62

+13.5

NDSU

L 65-76

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

RICE

L 62-81

−7.5

WEB

L 66-92

+0.5

MTST

W 72-68

−10.5

MOST

L 62-63

−21.5

TCU

L 53-72

−22.5

UTA

L 57-69

−10.5

UND

L 61-72

−15.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+9.5

STMN

L 71-82

+0.5

DEN

L 87-98

+28.5

OMA

L 62-73

−14.5

UND

L 62-79

−8.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−7.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−8.5

SDST

L 72-95

+16.5

STMN

L 75-92

+15.5

W 69-60

−21.5

SDST

L 69-87

+8.5

OMA

L 71-80

−0.5

SDAK

W 67-62

−22.5

DEN

W 102-80

+25.5

W 94-70

+14.5

W 84-62

−3.5

NDSU

L 65-76

−6.5

over 13under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Texas A&M-CC has the better starters

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 2, Oral Roberts 1, even 2

Texas A&M-CCBetterOral Roberts

G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12

ORUBig

G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50

G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76

AMCCBig

G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10

G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10

Even

G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8

G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34

AMCCSmall

G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9

F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53

Even

F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57

Texas A&M-CCBetterOral Roberts

AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4

Even

ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4

AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0

AMCCSmall

ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5

Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players

AMCCSmall

Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player

Bench-1.2 · 3 players

Even

Bench-1.5 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestAMCC betterORU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Texas A&M-CC

Guards

J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min

Forwards

B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew

Centers

J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew

Oral Roberts

Guards

C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR

Forwards

L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

AMCC68.5 #305

ORU71.8 #250

Points per possession

AMCC1.03 #296

ORU1.03 #291

Pace (possessions)

AMCC66.9 #284

ORU69.7 #134

Shooting

Effective FG%

AMCC49.5 #270

ORU49.6 #256

3-point %

AMCC35.0 #122

ORU32.0 #282

3-point attempt rate

AMCC31.4 #334

ORU45.6 #56

Free throw rate

AMCC41.1 #46

ORU34.8 #187

Possessions

Turnover rate

AMCC19.4 #336

ORU18.4 #293

Offensive rebound rate

AMCC31.7 #138

ORU28.4 #249

Assists per game

AMCC12.1 #280

ORU11.5 #312

Defense

Points allowed

AMCC69.4 #52

ORU79.7 #312

Points allowed per possession

AMCC1.04 #67

ORU1.15 #319

Opponent effective FG%

AMCC50.1 #104

ORU53.6 #289

Opponent 3-point %

AMCC31.6 #48

ORU37.4 #348

Turnovers forced

AMCC19.0 #48

ORU14.7 #310

Defensive rebound rate

AMCC71.2 #95

ORU68.2 #247

Steals per game

AMCC7.0 #125

ORU5.7 #268

Blocks per game

AMCC2.6 #290

ORU3.4 #154

AMCC		ORU
Scoring
68.5 #305	Points per game	71.8 #250
1.03 #296	Points per possession	1.03 #291
66.9 #284	Pace (possessions)	69.7 #134
Shooting
49.5 #270	Effective FG%	49.6 #256
35.0 #122	3-point %	32.0 #282
31.4 #334	3-point attempt rate	45.6 #56
41.1 #46	Free throw rate	34.8 #187
Possessions
19.4 #336	Turnover rate	18.4 #293
31.7 #138	Offensive rebound rate	28.4 #249
12.1 #280	Assists per game	11.5 #312
Defense
69.4 #52	Points allowed	79.7 #312
1.04 #67	Points allowed per possession	1.15 #319
50.1 #104	Opponent effective FG%	53.6 #289
31.6 #48	Opponent 3-point %	37.4 #348
19.0 #48	Turnovers forced	14.7 #310
71.2 #95	Defensive rebound rate	68.2 #247
7.0 #125	Steals per game	5.7 #268
2.6 #290	Blocks per game	3.4 #154

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs SF Austin58–60
Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
Wvs N'Western St71–59
W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs N Dakota St65–76
Wvs Kansas City84–62
W@ Kansas City94–70
Wvs Denver102–80
Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.

Texas A&M-CC @ Oral Roberts

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Texas A&M-CC

Oral Roberts

Texas A&M-CC has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Texas A&M-CC

Oral Roberts