1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. HOF @ COLU
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

Hofstra Pride at Columbia Lions

Levien Gymnasium · at Columbia
#166HOFHofstra
@
#170COLUColumbia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HOFThis seasonCOLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLU 72–71 · win probability COLU 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLU has more of the edges

HOF 2, COLU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HOFSmall
Three-pointers
HOF hits 37.1% and allows 32.3%; COLU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 42.9% and 37.5% of their shots
COLUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HOF 34.7%, COLU 36.0%. Defensive: HOF 69.0%, COLU 72.8%
COLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HOF 12%, COLU 61%. Transfers in: HOF 4, COLU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HOFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HOF 16.1%, COLU 19.3%. Forced: HOF 15.0%, COLU 15.1%
COLUSmall
HOF offense vs COLU defense
Offense 254th of 366 against a defense 198th, on the model’s ratings
COLUSmall
Home court
COLU at home. This season: COLU 0-0 at home, HOF 0-0 away
Even
COLU offense vs HOF defense
Offense 163rd of 366 against a defense 120th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: HOF plays 65.9 a game (319th fastest), COLU 67.8 (237th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: HOF 51.4 and allows 46.3; COLU 53.5 and allows 51.2
Context
Schedule so far
HOF has played the 142nd-hardest schedule, COLU the 169th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: HOF 31.6, COLU 28.6. Allowed: HOF 35.1, COLU 33.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COLU -1.4—
Total—143.3—
Projected score—HOF 70.9 · COLU 72.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOLU -0.7—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreHOF 33.2 · COLU 33.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Columbia has the better starters

Position by position: Hofstra 0, Columbia 1, even 4
HofstraBetterColumbia
G J. Moore TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 46
Even
G M. Franklin9.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1 ast Score 48
G D. Tavarez TR8.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 47
Even
G G. O'Keefe7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 45
F J. DeCady6.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 17
COLUSmall
G H. Sanders4.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 38
F S. Wewe TR2.4 pts · 5.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 17
Even
F M. Ritter6.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 21
F I. Zorgvol TR5.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast Score 62
Even
F C. Igoe8.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 72
HofstraBetterColumbia
HOF offense254th of 366 · -7.7
COLUSmall
COLU defense198th of 366 · -4.8
HOF defense120th of 366 · -1.9
Even
COLU offense163rd of 366 · -4.9
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 3 players
COLUSmall
Frontcourt-1.1 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestHOF betterCOLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hofstra
Guards
J. Moore30 min · TRD. Tavarez23 min · TRT. ThomasNewC. LopezNewT. BoydNewN. JeffersonNew
Forwards
J. DeCady25 minS. Wewe16 min · TRI. Zorgvol15 min · TRR. DunnNew
Columbia
Guards
M. Franklin24 minG. O'Keefe21 minH. Sanders15 minJ. Cunningham4 minD. VesseyNewN. RomanelliNew
Forwards
M. Ritter25 minC. Igoe20 minD. Langford11 min · TRR. Nweke8 minL. Coleman4 minN. ClarksonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HOFCOLU
Scoring
74.4 #184Points per game74.9 #167
1.13 #86Points per possession1.10 #130
65.9 #319Pace (possessions)67.8 #237
Shooting
51.4 #178Effective FG%53.5 #83
37.1 #263-point %35.9 #61
42.9 #1193-point attempt rate37.5 #221
31.6 #264Free throw rate28.6 #337
Possessions
16.1 #148Turnover rate19.3 #332
34.7 #54Offensive rebound rate36.0 #23
12.3 #263Assists per game15.0 #90
Defense
68.2 #36Points allowed73.5 #145
1.04 #69Points allowed per possession1.09 #188
46.3 #14Opponent effective FG%51.2 #168
32.3 #78Opponent 3-point %35.2 #258
15.0 #292Turnovers forced15.1 #282
69.0 #201Defensive rebound rate72.8 #42
4.8 #343Steals per game5.7 #270
3.5 #135Blocks per game3.0 #235
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hofstra

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama70–90
  • Wvs Monmouth75–69
  • Wvs Towson68–65
  • Wvs William & Mary92–61
  • Wvs Drexel62–51

A week or more of rest.

Columbia

14-12 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Harvard71–81
  • Lvs Yale54–60
  • Wvs Brown80–62
  • Lvs Dartmouth63–64
  • W@ Princeton75–65

A week or more of rest.