John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DART | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DAV 79–65 · win probability DAV 90%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAV has more of the edges
DART 1, DAV 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DAVBigDART offense vs DAV defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 84th, on the model’s ratings
DAVBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: DART 17.6%, DAV 15.8%. Forced: DART 13.8%, DAV 17.5%
DARTBigFree throws
Free throw rate: DART 38.0, DAV 31.0. Allowed: DART 30.7, DAV 37.1
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DART plays 69.6 a game (143rd fastest), DAV 65.0 (347th). Faster games mean more points
DAVSmallDAV offense vs DART defense
Offense 149th of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
DAVSmallShooting
Effective FG%: DART 51.8 and allows 52.7; DAV 52.6 and allows 50.6
Context
Schedule so far
DART has played the 145th-hardest schedule, DAV the 91st. A record against a soft schedule means less
DAVSmallHome court
DAV at home. This season: DAV 0-0 at home, DART 0-0 away
DAVSmallThree-pointers
DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%; DAV hits 35.4% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 48.7% and 44.5% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DART 23.7%, DAV 28.1%. Defensive: DART 70.3%, DAV 70.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DART 40%, DAV 49%. Transfers in: DART 1, DAV 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDAV -14.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model143.6
Model edge—
Projected score
DART 64.5 · DAV 79.1
Win probability
DAV 90%
1st half
Spread
DAV -8.6
Total
67.2
Projected score
DART 29.3 · DAV 37.9
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| DAV | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dartmouth
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @ HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | vs PENN | L 74-84 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | vs PRIN | W 71-69 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs COLU | L 69-79 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | @ YALE | L 68-83 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | @ BRWN | W 77-70 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsHARV | L 58-71 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 13 | vsYALE | L 70-83 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsBRWN | L 76-79 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @COLU | W 64-63 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 27 | @PENN | L 71-80 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @PRIN | L 61-82 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Mar 7 | vsCOR | L 90-111 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 201 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−12.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
+3.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−7.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
+0.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+8.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
13
vsYALE
YALEL 70-83
−3.5
14
vsBRWN
BRWNL 76-79
−5.5
21
@COLU
COLUW 64-63
+7.5
27
@PENN
PENNL 71-80
−2.5
28
@PRIN
PRINL 61-82
−19.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 90-111
−16.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−5.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
−7.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−8.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
−4.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+4.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
13
vsYALE
YALEL 70-83
+1.5
14
vsBRWN
BRWNL 76-79
+15.5
21
@COLU
COLUW 64-63
−23.5
27
@PENN
PENNL 71-80
−3.5
28
@PRIN
PRINL 61-82
+0.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 90-111
+34.5
over 12under 13avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
32 games played
Straight up
18-14
56% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-18
44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MERC | W 80-47 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 18 | vs TEM | L 63-68 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | @ KU | L 61-90 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs DUQ | L 83-89 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @ JOES | W 62-56 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | @ LUC | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs URI | L 45-70 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 14 | @ GW | W 84-79 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 21 | vs FOR | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vs VCU | L 69-75 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @ RICH | W 79-54 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 3 | vs SLU | L 82-91 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 6 | vsLUC | W 84-64 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 15 | @ DAY | L 59-70 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | vsRICH | W 65-63 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 21 | @FOR | L 59-63 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 25 | @DUQ | W 67-56 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 1 | vs LAS | W 71-64 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Mar 4 | vsJOES | L 67-70 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 7 | @ SBU | W 68-63 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 12 | vsLUC | W 64-59 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 13 | vsJOES | L 58-70 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 17 | @ OKST | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
+21.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
−14.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
−8.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
+4.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+13.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−27.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+14.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
+0.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−0.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
+26.5
3
vsSLU
SLUL 82-91
−0.5
6
vsLUC
LUCW 84-64
+10.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 59-70
−5.5
18
vsRICH
RICHW 65-63
−3.5
21
@FOR
FORL 59-63
−5.5
25
@DUQ
DUQW 67-56
+14.5
1
vsLAS
LASW 71-64
−3.5
4
vsJOES
JOESL 67-70
−4.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 68-63
+9.5
12
vsLUC
LUCW 64-59
−0.5
13
vsJOES
JOESL 58-70
−9.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 80-84
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
−5.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
+11.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
+21.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
−21.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+6.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−19.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+12.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
−4.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−4.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−22.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
−7.5
3
vsSLU
SLUL 82-91
+21.5
6
vsLUC
LUCW 84-64
+7.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 59-70
−11.5
18
vsRICH
RICHW 65-63
−13.5
21
@FOR
FORL 59-63
−9.5
25
@DUQ
DUQW 67-56
−19.5
1
vsLAS
LASW 71-64
+1.5
4
vsJOES
JOESL 67-70
+0.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 68-63
−10.5
12
vsLUC
LUCW 64-59
−9.5
13
vsJOES
JOESL 58-70
−5.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 80-84
+9.5
over 14under 18avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Davidson has the better starters
Position by position: Dartmouth 0, Davidson 3, even 2
DartmouthBetterDavidson
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 34
→DAVBig
G N. Janowski TR16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 81
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 16
→DAVSmall
G S. Brown7.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 33
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 47
=Even
G N. Coval6.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 49
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 8
→DAVBig
F J. Scovens11.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 2 ast
Score 88
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast
Not ranked
=No call
C I. Platteeuw3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 43
DartmouthBetterDavidson
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
→DAVBig
DAV defense84th of 366 · +0.0
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
→DAVSmall
DAV offense149th of 366 · -4.5
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
→DAVBig
Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
=No call
Frontcourt+2.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
=Even
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestDART betterDAV betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
DartmouthGuards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
DavidsonGuards
N. Janowski32 min · TRS. Brown24 minN. Coval19 minP. Kavu1 minJ. CarterNewE. HeinonenNew
Forwards
J. Scovens25 minJ. Roberts12 minJ. Keith9 min · TRJ. Nowland1 minQ. BashiruNewT. StoiberNew
Centers
I. Platteeuw15 min
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DART73.1 #222DAV69.9 #289Points per possession
DART1.05 #253DAV1.08 #189Pace (possessions)
DART69.6 #143DAV65.0 #347Shooting
Effective FG%
DART51.8 #156DAV52.6 #1213-point %
DART36.1 #51DAV35.4 #923-point attempt rate
DART48.7 #22DAV44.5 #79Free throw rate
DART38.0 #103DAV31.0 #283Possessions
Turnover rate
DART17.6 #248DAV15.8 #124Offensive rebound rate
DART23.7 #346DAV28.1 #265Assists per game
DART12.8 #227DAV13.4 #184Defense
Points allowed
DART78.4 #276DAV68.5 #40Points allowed per possession
DART1.13 #287DAV1.05 #94Opponent effective FG%
DART52.7 #254DAV50.6 #132Opponent 3-point %
DART34.6 #227DAV32.6 #92Turnovers forced
DART13.8 #339DAV17.5 #121Defensive rebound rate
DART70.3 #148DAV70.0 #157Steals per game
DART5.0 #337DAV6.4 #189Blocks per game
DART3.5 #147DAV4.1 #66| DART | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 73.1 #222 | Points per game | 69.9 #289 |
| 1.05 #253 | Points per possession | 1.08 #189 |
| 69.6 #143 | Pace (possessions) | 65.0 #347 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.8 #156 | Effective FG% | 52.6 #121 |
| 36.1 #51 | 3-point % | 35.4 #92 |
| 48.7 #22 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.5 #79 |
| 38.0 #103 | Free throw rate | 31.0 #283 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.6 #248 | Turnover rate | 15.8 #124 |
| 23.7 #346 | Offensive rebound rate | 28.1 #265 |
| 12.8 #227 | Assists per game | 13.4 #184 |
| Defense | ||
| 78.4 #276 | Points allowed | 68.5 #40 |
| 1.13 #287 | Points allowed per possession | 1.05 #94 |
| 52.7 #254 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.6 #132 |
| 34.6 #227 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.6 #92 |
| 13.8 #339 | Turnovers forced | 17.5 #121 |
| 70.3 #148 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.0 #157 |
| 5.0 #337 | Steals per game | 6.4 #189 |
| 3.5 #147 | Blocks per game | 4.1 #66 |
Dartmouth
9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cornell90–111
- L@ Princeton61–82
- L@ Penn71–80
- W@ Columbia64–63
- Lvs Brown76–79
A week or more of rest.
Davidson
18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St80–84
- Lvs Saint Joseph's58–70
- Wvs Loyola Chicago64–59
- W@ St Bonaventure68–63
- Lvs Saint Joseph's67–70
A week or more of rest.