1. Home
  2. NCAAB
  3. Fri, Dec 4
  4. BRWN @ BRY
NCAAB · Fri, Dec 4

Brown @ Bryant

Chace Athletic Center · at Bryant
#156BRWNBrown
@
#290BRYBryant
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BRWNThis seasonBRY
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BRWN 73–67 · win probability BRWN 69%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 139.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BRWN has more of the edges

BRWN 5, BRY 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BRWNBig
BRY offense vs BRWN defense
Offense 306th of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings
BRWNBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BRWN 19.4%, BRY 20.2%. Forced: BRWN 18.8%, BRY 14.6%
BRWNBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BRWN 100%, BRY 29%. Transfers in: BRWN 0, BRY 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
BRWN has played the 176th-hardest schedule, BRY the 261st. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRWNSmall
Three-pointers
BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%; BRY hits 30.0% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 36.3% and 47.9% of their shots
BRYSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BRWN 28.1, BRY 29.4. Allowed: BRWN 37.6, BRY 33.5
BRWNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3; BRY 46.9 and allows 52.7
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: BRWN plays 68.0 a game (229th fastest), BRY 65.2 (338th). Faster games mean more points
BRYSmall
Home court
BRY at home. This season: BRY 0-0 at home, BRWN 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BRWN 29.0%, BRY 27.7%. Defensive: BRWN 70.0%, BRY 69.0%
Even
BRWN offense vs BRY defense
Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 254th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelBRWN -5.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model139.5
Model edge—
Projected score
BRWN 72.6 · BRY 66.9
Win probability
BRWN 69%
1st half
Spread
BRWN -3.5
Total
65.3
Projected score
BRWN 34.4 · BRY 30.9
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Brown 1, Bryant 1, even 3
BrownBetterBryant
G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47
BRWNSmall
G T. Tabales9 pts · 2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 20
G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
No call
G F. Vassalluzzo0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25
Even
F A. Pasha TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 39
G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27
BRYBig
F K. Harvey10.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 64
F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72
No call
F E. Chatfield TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
BrownBetterBryant
BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7
Even
BRY defense254th of 366 · -6.6
BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2
BRWNBig
BRY offense306th of 366 · -9.5
Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players
BRYBig
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player
BRWNSmall
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
BRYSmall
Bench-0.0 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestBRWN betterBRY betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Brown
Guards
J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min
Forwards
N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew
Bryant
Guards
T. Tabales28 minF. Vassalluzzo1 minJ. Sepe1 minM. DeOrsey1 minR. WoernerNew
Forwards
A. Pasha33 min · TRK. Harvey27 minE. Chatfield13 min · TRO. Nnani1 min · TRD. ThompsonNewC. LyonsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BRWNBRY
Scoring
67.2 #330Points per game63.0 #358
0.98 #338Points per possession0.96 #351
68.0 #229Pace (possessions)65.2 #338
Shooting
48.6 #299Effective FG%46.9 #340
30.3 #3383-point %30.0 #343
36.3 #2443-point attempt rate47.9 #25
28.1 #342Free throw rate29.4 #322
Possessions
19.4 #334Turnover rate20.2 #351
29.0 #236Offensive rebound rate27.7 #276
14.8 #99Assists per game11.4 #314
Defense
72.4 #115Points allowed73.3 #138
1.07 #134Points allowed per possession1.13 #283
51.3 #176Opponent effective FG%52.7 #257
33.5 #157Opponent 3-point %36.3 #320
18.8 #57Turnovers forced14.6 #313
70.0 #164Defensive rebound rate69.0 #203
7.5 #82Steals per game5.9 #250
3.8 #104Blocks per game3.9 #88
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Penn61–82
  • L@ Cornell80–86
  • L@ Columbia62–80
  • Wvs Princeton80–71
  • W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.

Bryant

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont57–77
  • L@ New Hampshire83–88
  • Wvs NJIT69–52
  • L@ UMBC58–70
  • Lvs Binghamton67–79

A week or more of rest.