Xfinity Mobile Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
CONN -20.5✓ FUR covered by 9.5
CONN -20.5✓ FUR covered by 9.5Closing total133.5Over by 19.5
 FUR | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 19-12 | Record | 29-5 |
| 15-16 | ATS | 12-22 |
| 15-16 | O/U | 17-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FUR 59–81 CONN · ✓ CONN (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FUR | 36 | 35 | 71 |
| CONN | 40 | 42 | 82 |
1st half: FUR 36, CONN 40 (CONN by 4). The model had CONN by 13.2 and a total of 65.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| FUR | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-47 45% | Field goals | 32-65 49% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 5-25 20% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 44 18 off |
| 14 | Assists | 22 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| FUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom House G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 4-9 |
| Alex Wilkins G | 35 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 8-15 | 4-8 |
| Cooper Bowser F | 31 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eddrin Bronson G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Charles Johnston F | 17 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Vander Wal F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Asa Thomas G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Cole Bowser G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Abijah Franklin G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Ritger, Collin O'Neal, Gunnar Lewis, Mason Smith, Thomas Tillman, Davis Molnar
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 38 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 9-16 | 4-9 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 37 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 5-14 | 0-8 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 35 | 31 | 27 | 3 | 12-15 | 0-0 |
| Malachi Smith G | 32 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Solo Ball G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 21 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Alec Millender G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eric Reibe C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rrezon Elezaj, Uros Paunovic, Jacob Furphy, Jacob Ross, Silas Demary Jr., Dwayne Koroma, Jaylin Stewart
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -20.5
ModelCONN -22.4
Model edgeCONN +1.9
L FUR covered
Total
Market133.5
Model140.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
W Over
Projected score
FUR 58.8 · CONN 81.2
FUR 71 · CONN 82
Win probability
CONN 97%
1st half
Spread
CONN -13.2
CONN -4.0
Total
65.5
76 points
Projected score
FUR 26.2 · CONN 39.4
FUR 36 · CONN 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -18.5
2 → CONN
CloseCONN -20.5
2 pts toward CONN
Total
Open136.5
▼ 3
Close133.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FUR +1600 · CONN -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -18.5 · closed CONN -20.5 · moved 2 toward CONNmodel CONN -22.5
model CONN -22.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 3 downmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FUR | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| CONN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Furman
31 games played
Straight up
19-12
61% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HPU | L 71-97 | +3.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TROY | L 61-64 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNI | L 54-70 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUC | W 90-79 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs RICH | W 73-72 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILST | L 65-72 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ ELON | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs HARV | W 79-69 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 18 | @ MAN | W 75-68 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs CHSO | W 84-76 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 31 | vs MER | W 74-72 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | vs WCU | L 77-80 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ UTC | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs VMI | W 69-48 | -12.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | @ SAM | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vs WOF | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ CIT | L 75-77 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ UNCG | W 89-66 | -4.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 29 | vsSAM | W 78-73 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | vsUTC | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 4 | @ ETSU | L 71-75 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 8 | vsUNCG | L 64-67 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | @MER | L 64-69 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @VMI | W 90-72 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | vsETSU | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 21 | @WOF | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 25 | vsCIT | W 72-51 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 28 | @WCU | L 67-86 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 7 | vsSAM | W 86-81 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 8 | vsUNCG | W 81-75 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 9 | vsETSU | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
−22.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−5.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−6.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+2.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
+4.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−3.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+7.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+5.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−3.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
−2.5
31
vsMER
MERW 74-72
−0.5
3
vsWCU
WCUL 77-80
−11.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-67
+8.5
10
vsVMI
VMIW 69-48
+8.5
14
@SAM
SAMW 77-73
+2.5
17
vsWOF
WOFL 70-74
−8.5
21
@CIT
CITL 75-77
−13.5
23
@UNCG
UNCGW 89-66
+18.5
29
vsSAM
SAMW 78-73
−0.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 75-70
−2.5
4
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-75
+1.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGL 64-67
−13.5
11
@MER
MERL 64-69
−1.5
14
@VMI
VMIW 90-72
+6.5
18
vsETSU
ETSUL 69-78
−10.5
21
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+7.5
25
vsCIT
CITW 72-51
+5.5
28
@WCU
WCUL 67-86
−20.5
7
vsSAM
SAMW 86-81
+6.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGW 81-75
+0.5
9
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-61
+16.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
+14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−27.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−17.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+15.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
−2.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+31.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+6.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−11.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
+4.5
31
vsMER
MERW 74-72
−8.5
3
vsWCU
WCUL 77-80
−0.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-67
−1.5
10
vsVMI
VMIW 69-48
−32.5
14
@SAM
SAMW 77-73
+0.5
17
vsWOF
WOFL 70-74
−5.5
21
@CIT
CITL 75-77
+9.5
23
@UNCG
UNCGW 89-66
+4.5
29
vsSAM
SAMW 78-73
+1.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 75-70
−1.5
4
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-75
+4.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGL 64-67
−18.5
11
@MER
MERL 64-69
−18.5
14
@VMI
VMIW 90-72
+13.5
18
vsETSU
ETSUL 69-78
+6.5
21
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−10.5
25
vsCIT
CITW 72-51
−20.5
28
@WCU
WCUL 67-86
+5.5
7
vsSAM
SAMW 86-81
+19.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGW 81-75
+8.5
9
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-61
−2.5
over 15under 16avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
34 games played
Straight up
29-5
85% wins
Against the spread
12-22
35% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-17
50% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs BTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ DEP | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ XAV | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | vs MARQ | W 73-57 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ PROV | W 103-98 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEP | W 72-60 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ HALL | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GTWN | W 64-62 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs VILL | W 75-67 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsPROV | W 87-81 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 31 | @ CREI | W 85-58 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 3 | vsXAV | W 92-60 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 6 | @ SJU | L 72-81 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 11 | @BTLR | W 80-70 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | vsGTWN | W 79-75 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | vsCREI | L 84-91 | -15.5 | L −22.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 21 | @VILL | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsSJU | W 72-40 | -5.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsHALL | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 7 | @MARQ | L 62-68 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 12 | vsXAV | W 93-68 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 13 | vsGTWN | W 67-51 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 118 |
| Mar 14 | @SJU | L 52-72 | -2.5 | L −22.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
+5.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−1.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
−4.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−7.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
−1.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−9.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
−3.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
−9.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+20.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+15.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 72-81
−10.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRW 80-70
−1.5
14
vsGTWN
GTWNW 79-75
−12.5
18
vsCREI
CREIL 84-91
−22.5
21
@VILL
VILLW 73-63
+6.5
25
vsSJU
SJUW 72-40
+26.5
28
vsHALL
HALLW 71-67
−8.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 62-68
−15.5
12
vsXAV
XAVW 93-68
+7.5
13
vsGTWN
GTWNW 67-51
+1.5
14
@SJU
SJUL 52-72
−22.5
covered 12didn’t cover 22avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
−7.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+12.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−14.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
+48.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−5.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
+0.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−15.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
+4.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
+15.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+0.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 72-81
+9.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRW 80-70
+6.5
14
vsGTWN
GTWNW 79-75
+15.5
18
vsCREI
CREIL 84-91
+31.5
21
@VILL
VILLW 73-63
−5.5
25
vsSJU
SJUW 72-40
−33.5
28
vsHALL
HALLW 71-67
+7.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 62-68
−13.5
12
vsXAV
XAVW 93-68
+10.5
13
vsGTWN
GTWNW 67-51
−20.5
14
@SJU
SJUL 52-72
−15.5
over 17under 17avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Furman
19-12 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs ETSU76–61
- Wvs UNC Greensboro81–75
- Wvs Samford86–81
- L@ W Carolina67–86
- Wvs The Citadel72–51
A week or more of rest.
UConn
29-5 overall · 19-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's52–72
- Wvs Georgetown67–51
- Wvs Xavier93–68
- L@ Marquette62–68
- Wvs Seton Hall71–67
6 days since their last game.