Viejas Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
KU -14.5✓ CBU covered by 6.5
KU -14.5✓ CBU covered by 6.5Closing total142.5Under by 14.5
 CBU | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 25-8 | Record | 23-10 |
| 19-14 | ATS | 20-13 |
| 12-21 | O/U | 11-22 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CBU 62–78 KU · ✓ KU (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBU | 18 | 42 | 60 |
| KU | 38 | 30 | 68 |
1st half: CBU 18, KU 38 (KU by 20). The model had KU by 9.4 and a total of 65.4 (actual 56).
Team stats
| CBU | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-64 36% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 10-19 53% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 41 10 off |
| 5 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| CBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. G | 40 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 7-23 | 4-9 |
| Martel Williams G | 39 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 7-16 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Griman F | 34 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bradey Henige F | 27 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Jackson G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Miles Daniels G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Thomas Ndong F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Devon Malcolm G | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Muller G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rene D'Amelio, Nate Garcia, Chase Mayo Harmon, OJ Blankson, Monty Bowser, Mouhamadou Dioum, Jalen Dollar
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryn Peterson G | 37 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 11-24 | 4-11 |
| Tre White G | 32 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 31 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 30 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 24 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Nginyu Ngala, Kohl Rosario, Samis Calderon, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers, Jayden Dawson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -14.5
ModelKU -16.0
Model edgeKU +1.5
L CBU covered
Total
Market142.5
Model139.7
Model edgeUnder 2.8
W Under
Projected score
CBU 61.9 · KU 77.9
CBU 60 · KU 68
Win probability
KU 92%
1st half
Spread
KU -9.4
KU -20.0
Total
65.4
56 points
Projected score
CBU 28 · KU 37.4
CBU 18 · KU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -9.5
5 → KU
CloseKU -14.5
5 pts toward KU
Total
Open133.5
▲ 9
Close142.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
CBU +675 · KU -1050
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -9.5 · closed KU -14.5 · moved 5 toward KUmodel KU -16
model KU -16
Opened 133.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 9 upmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| KU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CA Baptist
33 games played
Straight up
25-8
76% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-21
36% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UPST | W 87-75 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ UCI | W 69-61 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs WIU | W 69-59 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCR | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs GRAM | W 72-59 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs USD | W 76-61 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ ORST | W 75-69 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 1 | @ COLO | L 70-78 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ BYU | L 60-91 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTAH | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 12 | @ EWU | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs SOU | W 75-67 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs SAC | W 74-67 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ UVU | L 66-73 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | @ UTA | L 51-63 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 3 | @ TAR | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vs UTU | W 84-72 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs SUU | W 58-55 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 15 | @ ACU | W 74-58 | +1.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 21 | vsUTU | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vsUVU | W 78-71 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @UTA | W 87-77 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 5 | vsTAR | W 56-55 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | vsACU | W 65-63 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 12 | @SUU | W 83-66 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 14 | @UTU | L 65-70 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 19 | @UVU | L 46-65 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 26 | vsUTA | W 68-56 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 28 | vsTAR | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 5 | vsACU | W 87-48 | -9.5 | W +29.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 7 | @SUU | W 82-75 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 13 | vsUTU | W 86-72 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVU | W 63-61 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
−2.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
+16.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−5.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
+10.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−1.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
+7.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+7.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
+5.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−12.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
−0.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+1.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−4.5
20
vsSAC
SACW 74-67
−7.5
29
@UVU
UVUL 66-73
+0.5
1
@UTA
UTAL 51-63
−14.5
3
@TAR
TARL 76-81
−3.5
8
vsUTU
UTUW 84-72
+4.5
10
vsSUU
SUUW 58-55
−11.5
15
@ACU
ACUW 74-58
+17.5
21
vsUTU
UTUW 73-64
+0.5
24
vsUVU
UVUW 78-71
+5.5
31
@UTA
UTAW 87-77
+8.5
5
vsTAR
TARW 56-55
−9.5
7
vsACU
ACUW 65-63
−6.5
12
@SUU
SUUW 83-66
+11.5
14
@UTU
UTUL 65-70
−7.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 46-65
−10.5
26
vsUTA
UTAW 68-56
+5.5
28
vsTAR
TARW 82-67
+6.5
5
vsACU
ACUW 87-48
+29.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 82-75
+0.5
13
vsUTU
UTUW 86-72
+5.5
14
vsUVU
UVUW 63-61
+4.5
covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
+9.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
−17.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−12.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
−5.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−13.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
−9.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+6.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−2.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−2.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
+30.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+17.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−13.5
20
vsSAC
SACW 74-67
−17.5
29
@UVU
UVUL 66-73
−9.5
1
@UTA
UTAL 51-63
−20.5
3
@TAR
TARL 76-81
+9.5
8
vsUTU
UTUW 84-72
+11.5
10
vsSUU
SUUW 58-55
−37.5
15
@ACU
ACUW 74-58
−8.5
21
vsUTU
UTUW 73-64
−6.5
24
vsUVU
UVUW 78-71
+1.5
31
@UTA
UTAW 87-77
+29.5
5
vsTAR
TARW 56-55
−27.5
7
vsACU
ACUW 65-63
−7.5
12
@SUU
SUUW 83-66
+1.5
14
@UTU
UTUL 65-70
−8.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 46-65
−31.5
26
vsUTA
UTAW 68-56
−10.5
28
vsTAR
TARW 82-67
+9.5
5
vsACU
ACUW 87-48
−1.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 82-75
+8.5
13
vsUTU
UTUW 86-72
+13.5
14
vsUVU
UVUW 63-61
−15.5
over 12under 21avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
33 games played
Straight up
23-10
70% wins
Against the spread
20-13
61% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-22
33% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs TCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vs ISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vs BAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ KSU | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vsBYU | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @ TTU | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsUTAH | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vs ARIZ | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ISU | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @ OKST | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs CIN | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vs HOU | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ARIZ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ ASU | L 60-70 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vsKSU | W 104-85 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 189 |
| Mar 12 | vsTCU | W 78-73 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 13 | vsHOU | L 47-69 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
+19.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+5.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
+6.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−6.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+9.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−10.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
+4.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
−24.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
+15.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−13.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−15.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+1.5
12
vsTCU
TCUW 78-73
+0.5
13
vsHOU
HOUL 47-69
−16.5
covered 20didn’t cover 13avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
−10.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+12.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
−30.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−20.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+7.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−17.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
−8.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
+12.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
−13.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−6.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−21.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+31.5
12
vsTCU
TCUW 78-73
+4.5
13
vsHOU
HOUL 47-69
−23.5
over 11under 22avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CA Baptist
25-8 overall · 15-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah Valley63–61
- Wvs Utah Tech86–72
- W@ Southern Utah82–75
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn87–48
- Wvs Tarleton St82–67
6 days since their last game.
Kansas
23-10 overall · 13-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Houston47–69
- Wvs TCU78–73
- Wvs Kansas St104–85
- L@ Arizona St60–70
- L@ Arizona61–84
A week or more of rest.