Orleans Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SF -6.5✓ SF covered by 10.5
SF -6.5✓ SF covered by 10.5Closing total146.5Over by 0.5
 PORT | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 13-18 | Record | 15-15 |
| 15-16 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 13-18 | O/U | 15-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 72–77 SF · ✓ SF (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| SF | 29 | 53 | 82 |
1st half: PORT 29, SF 29 (tied). The model had SF by 3.3 and a total of 69.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| PORT | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 9-31 29% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 39 17 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 38 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-17 | 2-9 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 37 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| James O'Donnell F | 19 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikah Ballew G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Williams F | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Noland G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carlin Briggs, NaVaughn Long, Preston Lee, Riley Parker, Timo George, Marchelo Moreira
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 37 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Legend Smiley G | 33 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 28 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| David Fuchs F | 28 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-2 |
| Junjie Wang F | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vukasin Masic G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Mookie Cook F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Sean Blakely Drummond G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Veniamin Abosi, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -6.5
ModelSF -5.8
Model edgePORT +0.8
L SF covered
Total
Market146.5
Model149.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
PORT 71.7 · SF 77.4
PORT 65 · SF 82
Win probability
SF 69%
1st half
Spread
SF -3.3
tied
Total
69.7
58 points
Projected score
PORT 33.2 · SF 36.5
PORT 29 · SF 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -4.5
2 → SF
CloseSF -6.5
2 pts toward SF
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +250 · SF -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -4.5 · closed SF -6.5 · moved 2 toward SFmodel SF -6
model SF -6
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| SF | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PORT 2–7 SFSF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 6 meetings · PORT 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | PORT 68 @ SF 73 | SF -11.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | PORT 72 @ SF 81 | SF -18.5 | PORT W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | PORT 51 vs SF 72 | SF -15.5 | SF W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | SF 76 @ PORT 64 | PORT +13.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | PORT 69 @ SF 96 | SF -16.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
31 games played
Straight up
13-18
42% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORE | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | @ UCSB | L 61-79 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 28 | vs WSU | L 62-67 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCU | L 85-92 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | @ SMC | L 57-78 | +18.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | @SF | L 68-73 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs PAC | W 90-89 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vs ORST | W 82-76 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ PEPP | L 63-67 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | @ LMU | W 71-58 | +8.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 24 | vsSMC | L 69-75 | +14.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @PAC | L 51-74 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @WSU | L 74-104 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 4 | vs GONZ | W 87-80 | +22.5 | W +29.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | vs SEA | W 54-53 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 11 | @ USD | L 58-71 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | vsPEPP | L 87-95 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | @SEA | L 59-71 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 25 | @GONZ | L 48-89 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 28 | vsUSD | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 5 | vsPEPP | W 77-68 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 6 | vsWSU | W 74-68 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
−5.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−8.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−1.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+6.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−2.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
+6.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 90-89
+4.5
10
vsORST
ORSTW 82-76
+3.5
14
@PEPP
PEPPL 63-67
−5.5
17
@LMU
LMUW 71-58
+21.5
24
vsSMC
SMCL 69-75
+8.5
28
@PAC
PACL 51-74
−14.5
31
@WSU
WSUL 74-104
−21.5
4
vsGONZ
GONZW 87-80
+29.5
7
vsSEA
SEAW 54-53
+4.5
11
@USD
USDL 58-71
−11.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPL 87-95
−15.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-71
−4.5
25
@GONZ
GONZL 48-89
−14.5
28
vsUSD
USDW 87-74
+10.5
5
vsPEPP
PEPPW 77-68
+5.5
6
vsWSU
WSUW 74-68
+11.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
+8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−7.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−23.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+19.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−11.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
−6.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 90-89
+34.5
10
vsORST
ORSTW 82-76
+12.5
14
@PEPP
PEPPL 63-67
−17.5
17
@LMU
LMUW 71-58
−19.5
24
vsSMC
SMCL 69-75
−0.5
28
@PAC
PACL 51-74
−17.5
31
@WSU
WSUL 74-104
+25.5
4
vsGONZ
GONZW 87-80
+14.5
7
vsSEA
SEAW 54-53
−36.5
11
@USD
USDL 58-71
−21.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPL 87-95
+31.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-71
−10.5
25
@GONZ
GONZL 48-89
−13.5
28
vsUSD
USDW 87-74
+12.5
5
vsPEPP
PEPPW 77-68
−9.5
6
vsWSU
WSUW 74-68
−7.5
over 13under 18avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vsPORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 13 | vsSMC | L 68-82 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | vsWSU | W 85-80 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @GONZ | L 66-68 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | @SCU | L 73-88 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsPAC | W 87-82 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsLMU | L 75-84 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @SMC | L 54-79 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 12 | vsORST | L 63-90 | -8.5 | L −35.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | @USD | W 92-79 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vsGONZ | L 59-80 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsSCU | L 73-94 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @PAC | W 72-61 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
−8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
−0.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
+13.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
−5.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+0.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
−17.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−13.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
−35.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+7.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−5.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
−14.5
28
@PAC
PACW 72-61
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
+8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
+18.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
−15.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
+10.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+30.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
+13.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−9.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
+12.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+22.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−12.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
+8.5
28
@PAC
PACW 72-61
−9.5
over 15under 15avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
13-18 overall · 8-12 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington St74–68
- Wvs Pepperdine77–68
- Wvs San Diego87–74
- L@ Gonzaga48–89
- L@ Seattle U59–71
1 day since their last game.
San Francisco
15-15 overall · 8-10 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pacific72–61
- Lvs Santa Clara73–94
- Lvs Gonzaga59–80
- W@ San Diego92–79
- Lvs Oregon St63–90
A week or more of rest.