Kress Center · at Green Bay · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
GB -3.5✓ GB covered by 4.5
GB -3.5✓ GB covered by 4.5Closing total145.5Under by 25.5
 PFW | This season | GB |
|---|---|---|
| 14-14 | Record | 15-14 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 15-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 72–75 GB · ✓ GB (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 22 | 34 | 56 |
| GB | 34 | 30 | 64 |
1st half: PFW 22, GB 34 (GB by 12). The model had GB by 1.7 and a total of 68.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| PFW | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 22-47 47% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 40 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Duffy F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Morgan G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Yuval Levin F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| EJ Mosley G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quentin Morgan, Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Mason Shrout, Ebrahim Kaba
| GB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Hall F | 39 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| C.J. O'Hara G | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Preston Ruedinger G | 37 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Justin Allen G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Caden Wilkins F | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ramel Bethea F | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| LeBron Thomas G | 15 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rob Stroud, Josh Hines, Maruan Cicic, Brady Fitzgerald, Trey Schachter, Mac Wrecke, Vukasin Todorovic, Keegan Van Kauwenberg, Dontrell Hewlett
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGB -3.5
ModelGB -3.0
Model edgePFW +0.5
L GB covered
Total
Market145.5
Model146.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
PFW 72 · GB 75
PFW 56 · GB 64
Win probability
GB 60%
1st half
Spread
GB -1.7
GB -12.0
Total
68.8
56 points
Projected score
PFW 33.5 · GB 35.2
PFW 22 · GB 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGB -6.5
3 → PFW
CloseGB -3.5
3 pts toward PFW
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PFW +164 · GB -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GB -6.5 · closed GB -3.5 · moved 3 toward PFWmodel GB -3
model GB -3
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| GB | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PFW 8–2 GBPFW leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · GB has won the last 2 meetings · PFW 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | PFW 59 @ GB 76 | GB +1.5 | GB W |
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | GB 72 @ PFW 54 | PFW -8.5 | GB W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | GB 74 @ PFW 89 | PFW -15.5 | GB W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | PFW 83 @ GB 67 | GB +8.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | PFW 85 @ GB 59 | GB -1.5 | PFW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs NKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsGB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ YSU | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @ RMU | W 79-74 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsMILW | W 100-82 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 21 | @DETM | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsOAK | L 65-74 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vsRMU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | vsYSU | L 61-90 | -2.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ WRST | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | @GB | L 59-76 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | vs IUIN | W 83-78 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 18 | @NKU | L 71-87 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 22 | @CLE | W 92-86 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 25 | vsWRST | L 70-74 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | @IUIN | W 87-81 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
+6.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+9.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+14.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+4.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−7.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+9.5
4
vsYSU
YSUL 61-90
−31.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 68-73
+1.5
12
@GB
GBL 59-76
−18.5
15
vsIUIN
IUINW 83-78
−2.5
18
@NKU
NKUL 71-87
−10.5
22
@CLE
CLEW 92-86
+2.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 70-74
−2.5
28
@IUIN
IUINW 87-81
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
−5.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+6.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+33.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+3.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−23.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+8.5
4
vsYSU
YSUL 61-90
+3.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 68-73
−9.5
12
@GB
GBL 59-76
−9.5
15
vsIUIN
IUINW 83-78
+1.5
18
@NKU
NKUL 71-87
+4.5
22
@CLE
CLEW 92-86
+14.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 70-74
−6.5
28
@IUIN
IUINW 87-81
+4.5
over 16under 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Green Bay
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KU | L 51-94 | +30.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ BUF | L 76-83 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ STMN | L 61-80 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ MINN | L 65-72 | +25.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs YALE | L 67-73 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 22 | vs MASS | W 79-75 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs IONA | W 80-75 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 4 | vsRMU | L 78-80 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @WRST | L 58-86 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 11 | @IUIN | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs UCSB | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 23 | @ CAM | L 79-102 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | @PFW | W 72-54 | +8.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 5 | vsMILW | W 79-76 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsIUIN | W 75-59 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vsNKU | W 80-78 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | @CLE | W 88-73 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 18 | vsOAK | L 63-88 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 22 | @YSU | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | @RMU | W 71-67 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 30 | vsCLE | L 82-89 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 1 | vsWRST | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | @NKU | W 87-84 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsDETM | W 76-63 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsPFW | W 76-59 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | @MILW | L 72-75 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 20 | @OAK | W 73-68 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 22 | @DETM | L 70-74 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vsYSU | W 85-63 | -1.5 | W +20.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−12.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
−3.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−5.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
+18.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
+11.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+9.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
−0.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
−21.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
+13.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
+10.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
−17.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
+26.5
5
vsMILW
MILWW 79-76
+6.5
9
vsIUIN
IUINW 75-59
+9.5
11
vsNKU
NKUW 80-78
+6.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 88-73
+11.5
18
vsOAK
OAKL 63-88
−20.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 81-88
+0.5
24
@RMU
RMUW 71-67
+10.5
30
vsCLE
CLEL 82-89
−14.5
1
vsWRST
WRSTL 75-83
−4.5
4
@NKU
NKUW 87-84
+10.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 76-63
+9.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 76-59
+18.5
15
@MILW
MILWL 72-75
−0.5
20
@OAK
OAKW 73-68
+11.5
22
@DETM
DETML 70-74
−2.5
28
vsYSU
YSUW 85-63
+20.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−7.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
+11.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−9.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
−9.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
−8.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+7.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+4.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
+17.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
+1.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
−5.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
−9.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
+35.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
−19.5
5
vsMILW
MILWW 79-76
+10.5
9
vsIUIN
IUINW 75-59
−22.5
11
vsNKU
NKUW 80-78
+13.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 88-73
+10.5
18
vsOAK
OAKL 63-88
−2.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 81-88
+29.5
24
@RMU
RMUW 71-67
−4.5
30
vsCLE
CLEL 82-89
+20.5
1
vsWRST
WRSTL 75-83
+13.5
4
@NKU
NKUW 87-84
+21.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 76-63
−10.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 76-59
−9.5
15
@MILW
MILWL 72-75
+1.5
20
@OAK
OAKW 73-68
−12.5
22
@DETM
DETML 70-74
−3.5
28
vsYSU
YSUW 85-63
+6.5
over 15under 14avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
14-14 overall · 11-9 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ IU Indy87–81
- Lvs Wright St70–74
- W@ Cleveland St92–86
- L@ N Kentucky71–87
- Wvs IU Indy83–78
3 days since their last game.
Green Bay
15-14 overall · 12-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Youngstown St85–63
- L@ Detroit Mercy70–74
- W@ Oakland73–68
- L@ Milwaukee72–75
- Wvs Purdue FW76–59
3 days since their last game.