Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SCU -5.5✓ SCU covered by 5.5
SCU -5.5✓ SCU covered by 5.5Closing total138.5Over by 22.5
 MINN | This season | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 5-1 |
| 1-6 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 1-6 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 69–74 SCU · ✓ SCU (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 27 | 48 | 75 |
| SCU | 51 | 35 | 86 |
1st half: MINN 27, SCU 51 (SCU by 24). The model had SCU by 2.4 and a total of 67.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MINN | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 16-31 52% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 19 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 39 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-5 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 30 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Grayson Grove F | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bobby Durkin F | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Kai Shinholster G | 22 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
Did not play: RJ Spencer, Maximus Gizzi, Max Lorenson, Chansey Willis Jr., Robert Vaihola, Nehemiah Turner, Chance Stephens, BJ Omot
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Mahi F | 29 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Christian Hammond G | 26 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Allen Graves F | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Thierry Darlan G | 25 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 23 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Cochran G | 23 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Noah Badibanga, Jake Ensminger, Brad Longcor III, Juan Reyna, Chris Tadjo, Gehrig Normand, Malachi Douyon, Brendan Yarusso
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSCU -5.5
ModelSCU -4.2
Model edgeMINN +1.3
L SCU covered
Total
Market138.5
Model142.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
MINN 69.4 · SCU 73.5
MINN 75 · SCU 86
Win probability
SCU 64%
1st half
Spread
SCU -2.4
SCU -24.0
Total
67.0
78 points
Projected score
MINN 32.3 · SCU 34.7
MINN 27 · SCU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMINN -6.5
12 → SCU
CloseSCU -5.5
12 pts toward SCU
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +180 · SCU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MINN -6.5 · closed SCU -5.5 · moved 12 toward SCUmodel SCU -4
model SCU -4
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINNlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 1-6 14% | 1-6 14% |
| SCUlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 1-5 17% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
1-6
14% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
over 1under 6avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Clara
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +8.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
MCN
MCNW 79-67
+5.5
10
@
XAV
XAVW 87-68
+22.5
15
vs
NEV
NEVW 98-83
+8.5
18
vs
IDST
IDSTW 64-55
−5.5
21
vs
UL
ULW 80-43
+17.5
27
vs
SLU
SLUL 70-71
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
−5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
−0.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+36.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−22.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
−17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
−17.5
over 1under 5avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stanford68–72
- Lvs San Francisco65–77
- Wvs Chicago St66–54
- Wvs Green Bay72–65
- L@ Missouri60–83
1 day since their last game.
Santa Clara
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Louis70–71
- Wvs Louisiana80–43
- Wvs Idaho St64–55
- Wvs Nevada98–83
- W@ Xavier87–68
1 day since their last game.