Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
DRKE -8.5✓ EVAN covered by 4.5
DRKE -8.5✓ EVAN covered by 4.5Closing total143.5Over by 16.5
 EVAN | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-15 | Record | 9-10 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EVAN 66–75 DRKE · ✓ DRKE (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| DRKE | 30 | 52 | 82 |
1st half: EVAN 36, DRKE 30 (EVAN by 6). The model had DRKE by 5.6 and a total of 66.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| EVAN | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-55 55% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 10-32 31% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 28-38 74% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 40 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 8-16 | 3-6 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 35 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| AJ Casey F | 32 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Turnbull F | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Hundley F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Gutman, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Keishon Porter, Marlon Barnes Jr.
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alia G | 38 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 37 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 7-15 | 2-6 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 36 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Owen Larson G | 34 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-10 |
| Okku Federiko F | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Carr F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush, Wilguens Jr. Exacte
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDRKE -8.5
ModelDRKE -9.7
Model edgeDRKE +1.2
L EVAN covered
Total
Market143.5
Model140.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
L Over
Projected score
EVAN 65.5 · DRKE 75.2
EVAN 78 · DRKE 82
Win probability
DRKE 80%
1st half
Spread
DRKE -5.6
EVAN -6.0
Total
66.0
66 points
Projected score
EVAN 30.2 · DRKE 35.8
EVAN 36 · DRKE 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDRKE -9.5
1 → EVAN
CloseDRKE -8.5
1 pt toward EVAN
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
EVAN +360 · DRKE -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DRKE -9.5 · closed DRKE -8.5 · moved 1 toward EVANmodel DRKE -9.5
model DRKE -9.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| DRKE | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
EVAN 0–9 DRKEDRKE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 9 meetings · EVAN 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025-26 | DRKE 66 @ EVAN 65 | EVAN -2.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | DRKE 65 @ EVAN 61 | EVAN +8.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | EVAN 40 @ DRKE 63 | DRKE -15.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | EVAN 58 vs DRKE 79 | DRKE -14.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | DRKE 78 @ EVAN 75 | EVAN +7.5 | EVAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Evansville
18 games played
Straight up
3-15
17% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vs BEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @ BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vs UNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs MUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsBRAD | L 90-94 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 20 | @ UIC | L 49-76 | +8.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+3.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−18.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+41.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−14.5
over 7under 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vsILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vsINST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsBEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
over 10under 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Evansville
3-15 overall · 1-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UIC49–76
- Lvs Bradley90–94
- W@ Indiana St72–69
- Lvs Murray St69–79
- Lvs Northern Iowa48–62
A week or more of rest.
Drake
9-10 overall · 5-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St76–62
- Wvs Murray St101–90
- L@ UIC67–74
- W@ S Illinois76–73
- Lvs Belmont76–78
4 days since their last game.