Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -6.5✓ BRAD covered by 20.5
BRAD -6.5✓ BRAD covered by 20.5Closing total144.5Over by 14.5
 DRKE | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 9-6 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 5-10 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 70–74 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 19 | 47 | 66 |
| BRAD | 40 | 53 | 93 |
1st half: DRKE 19, BRAD 40 (BRAD by 21). The model had BRAD by 2.4 and a total of 67.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| DRKE | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 17-28 61% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 41 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 30 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-14 | 1-2 |
| Andrew Alia G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Okku Federiko F | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Owen Larson G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 24 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 32 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| AJ Smith F | 25 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Demarion Burch G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 22 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Corey Thomas F | 15 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Kai Yu C | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Matthew Zobrist G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Handy Toussaint III F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gus Rugaard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jackson Seastrunk, Gustavo Guimares
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -6.5
ModelBRAD -4.1
Model edgeDRKE +2.4
L BRAD covered
Total
Market144.5
Model144.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
DRKE 70.1 · BRAD 74.2
DRKE 66 · BRAD 93
Win probability
BRAD 64%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -2.4
BRAD -21.0
Total
67.6
59 points
Projected score
DRKE 32.6 · BRAD 35
DRKE 19 · BRAD 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -6.5
no move
CloseBRAD -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +235 · BRAD -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -6.5 · unchangedmodel BRAD -4
model BRAD -4
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144.5 matches the line
model 144.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| BRAD | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
DRKE 7–4 BRADDRKE leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · DRKE 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | BRAD 48 vs DRKE 63 | DRKE -3.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | BRAD 61 @ DRKE 59 | DRKE -5.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | DRKE 64 @ BRAD 57 | BRAD -1.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | BRAD 67 vs DRKE 72 | DRKE -2.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | BRAD 66 @ DRKE 74 | DRKE -4.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs ILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
over 5under 8avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
5-10
33% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
over 6under 9avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
6-7 overall · 2-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St74–72
- Lvs Illinois St56–73
- W@ Evansville66–65
- L@ Murray St72–81
- Lvs N Dakota St94–99
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
9-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Murray St66–86
- L@ Belmont78–88
- Wvs Evansville76–68
- Wvs S Illinois73–69
- W@ Indiana St108–99
3 days since their last game.