Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -11.5✓ EVAN covered by 3.5
BRAD -11.5✓ EVAN covered by 3.5Closing total144.5Under by 0.5
 EVAN | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-9 | Record | 8-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EVAN 66–77 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| BRAD | 31 | 45 | 76 |
1st half: EVAN 35, BRAD 31 (EVAN by 4). The model had BRAD by 6.6 and a total of 67.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| EVAN | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Quinet G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 33 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Leif Moeller G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Casey F | 23 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Keishon Porter G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Trent Hundley F | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Marlon Barnes Jr., Aaron Gutman
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson G | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Demarion Burch G | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 30 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 26 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| AJ Smith F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 23 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Corey Thomas F | 19 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Kai Yu C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -11.5
ModelBRAD -11.2
Model edgeEVAN +0.3
W EVAN covered
Total
Market144.5
Model143.2
Model edgeUnder 1.3
W Under
Projected score
EVAN 66 · BRAD 77.2
EVAN 68 · BRAD 76
Win probability
BRAD 84%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -6.6
EVAN -4.0
Total
67.1
66 points
Projected score
EVAN 30.3 · BRAD 36.8
EVAN 35 · BRAD 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -12.5
1 → EVAN
CloseBRAD -11.5
1 pt toward EVAN
Total
Open139.5
▲ 5
Close144.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
EVAN +550 · BRAD -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -12.5 · closed BRAD -11.5 · moved 1 toward EVANmodel BRAD -11
model BRAD -11
Opened 139.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 5 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| BRAD | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
EVAN 1–5 BRADBRAD leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · EVAN 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | BRAD 80 @ EVAN 74 | EVAN +5.5 | BRAD W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | BRAD 70 @ EVAN 73 | EVAN +9.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | EVAN 50 @ BRAD 86 | BRAD -12.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | EVAN 46 @ BRAD 91 | BRAD -19.5 | BRAD W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | BRAD 76 @ EVAN 41 | EVAN +8 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Evansville
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vs BEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vs DRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
over 6under 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
over 5under 7avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Evansville
2-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Drake65–66
- Lvs Belmont78–83
- L@ Notre Dame58–82
- L@ Western KY79–80
- Wvs Ball State64–52
A week or more of rest.
Bradley
8-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Illinois73–69
- W@ Indiana St108–99
- Wvs N Illinois84–55
- Wvs Washington St64–60
- Wvs Liberty74–64
A week or more of rest.