The Pit · at New Mexico · Conference game
Closing line
UNM -1.5✓ USU covered by 21.5
UNM -1.5✓ USU covered by 21.5Closing total156.5Under by 4.5
 USU | This season | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| 17-3 | Record | 17-4 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 15-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 78–77 UNM · ✓ USU (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 36 | 50 | 86 |
| UNM | 33 | 33 | 66 |
1st half: USU 36, UNM 33 (USU by 3). The model had USU by 0.7 and a total of 72.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| USU | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 11-31 35% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 18 | Assists | 7 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adlan Elamin F | 35 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 33 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Drake Allen G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Mason Falslev G | 28 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Zach Keller F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Kolby King G | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Garry Clark F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jordy Barnes, David Iweze, Tucker Anderson, Brayden Boe, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 34 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Luke Haupt G | 32 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 29 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chol F | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Deyton Albury G | 23 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 20 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| JT Rock C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Timeo Pons, Sir Marius Jones, Milos Vicentic, Kallai Patton, Kevin Patton Jr., Chris Howell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNM -1.5
ModelUSU -1.0
Model edgeUSU +2.5
W USU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
USU 78 · UNM 77
USU 86 · UNM 66
Win probability
USU 53%
1st half
Spread
USU -0.7
USU -3.0
Total
72.5
69 points
Projected score
USU 36.6 · UNM 35.9
USU 36 · UNM 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -2.5
1 → USU
CloseUNM -1.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USU +110 · UNM -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -2.5 · closed UNM -1.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel USU -1
model USU -1
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| UNM | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USU 5–3 UNMUSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNM has won the last 2 meetings · USU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | USU 79 @ UNM 82 | UNM -5.5 | USU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UNM 82 @ USU 63 | USU -4.5 | UNM W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UNM 85 @ USU 87 | USU -4.5 | UNM W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | USU 86 @ UNM 99 | UNM -5.5 | UNM W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | UNM 76 vs USU 91 | USU -3.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vs WYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs SDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
over 11under 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-6
71% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @VCU | W 81-78 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 14 | vs FGCU | W 75-59 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | vsSJSU | W 88-65 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @BOIS | L 53-62 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | vsWYO | W 78-58 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 6 | @CSU | W 80-70 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @AF | W 91-49 | -16.5 | W +25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | vsGCU | W 87-64 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @SDSU | L 79-83 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vsFRES | W 83-74 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vsNEV | W 80-73 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | @UNLV | W 89-61 | -3.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 31 | @SJSU | W 90-80 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+11.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+6.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−3.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
+12.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+8.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+25.5
13
vsGCU
GCUW 87-64
+16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 79-83
+1.5
21
vsFRES
FRESW 83-74
−6.5
24
vsNEV
NEVW 80-73
−1.5
27
@UNLV
UNLVW 89-61
+24.5
31
@SJSU
SJSUW 90-80
−5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+1.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
−25.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+0.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−31.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
−15.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+6.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+1.5
13
vsGCU
GCUW 87-64
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 79-83
+13.5
21
vsFRES
FRESW 83-74
+5.5
24
vsNEV
NEVW 80-73
+2.5
27
@UNLV
UNLVW 89-61
−5.5
31
@SJSU
SJSUW 90-80
+21.5
over 15under 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
17-3 overall · 9-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego St71–66
- Wvs Wyoming94–62
- W@ Colorado St65–61
- Lvs UNLV76–86
- L@ Grand Canyon74–84
4 days since their last game.
New Mexico
17-4 overall · 9-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San José St90–80
- W@ UNLV89–61
- Wvs Nevada80–73
- Wvs Fresno St83–74
- L@ San Diego St79–83
4 days since their last game.