Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada · Conference game
Closing line
NEV -16.5✓ NEV covered by 16.5
NEV -16.5✓ NEV covered by 16.5Closing total137.5Over by 3.5
 SJSU | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 13-5 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJSU 66–79 NEV · ✓ NEV (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| NEV | 39 | 48 | 87 |
1st half: SJSU 26, NEV 39 (NEV by 13). The model had NEV by 7.6 and a total of 67.5 (actual 65).
Team stats
| SJSU | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-58 33% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 12-21 57% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 21 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Washington G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Adrian Myers G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-7 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Overstreet F | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eren Karakaya C | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Douglas Langford F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colby Garland, Christian Wise, Yaphet Moundi, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough, Damase Coly
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshawn Comer G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Elijah Price F | 28 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 20 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chuck Bailey III G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Peyton White G | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 15 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 11 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Walker G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Croley F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Christopher Baudreau F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joel Armotrading, Tyler Rolison
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEV -16.5
ModelNEV -13.0
Model edgeSJSU +3.5
L NEV covered
Total
Market137.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
W Over
Projected score
SJSU 65.5 · NEV 78.5
SJSU 54 · NEV 87
Win probability
NEV 87%
1st half
Spread
NEV -7.6
NEV -13.0
Total
67.5
65 points
Projected score
SJSU 29.9 · NEV 37.5
SJSU 26 · NEV 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -16.5
no move
CloseNEV -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 5
Close137.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
SJSU +1100 · NEV -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -16.5 · unchangedmodel NEV -13
model NEV -13
Opened 142.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 5 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NEV | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SJSU 1–8 NEVNEV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NEV has won the last 4 meetings · SJSU 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | NEV 73 @ SJSU 58 | SJSU +7.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SJSU 64 @ NEV 75 | NEV -13.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | NEV 84 @ SJSU 63 | SJSU +10.5 | NEV W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | SJSU 60 @ NEV 90 | NEV -11.5 | NEV W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | SJSU 81 vs NEV 77 | NEV -3.5 | SJSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San José St
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vs SDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vs FRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ GCU | L 58-76 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | vs AF | W 70-62 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNLV | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−1.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+2.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−7.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+3.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−8.5
over 9under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vsUCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vsSDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs WYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
over 10under 8avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San José St
5-12 overall · 1-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNLV62–76
- Wvs Air Force70–62
- L@ Grand Canyon58–76
- Lvs Fresno St55–70
- L@ Utah State78–96
3 days since their last game.
Nevada
13-5 overall · 5-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force81–66
- L@ Utah State62–71
- Wvs Wyoming92–83
- Lvs San Diego St68–73
- W@ Fresno St66–65
3 days since their last game.