Food City Center · at Tennessee
Closing line
TENN -44.5✓ TENN covered by 6.5
TENN -44.5✓ TENN covered by 6.5Closing total147.5Over by 11.5
 SCST | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-13 | Record | 9-3 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SCST 54–93 TENN · ✓ TENN (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCST | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| TENN | 41 | 64 | 105 |
1st half: SCST 25, TENN 41 (TENN by 16). The model had TENN by 23.2 and a total of 68.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SCST | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-55 35% | Field goals | 39-64 61% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 10-20 50% | Free throws | 19-33 58% |
| 16 6 off | Rebounds | 52 20 off |
| 9 | Assists | 30 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| SCST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Tenebay G | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Johnson G | 26 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 9-17 | 4-6 |
| Obie Bronston Jr. G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| James Morrow G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Clark F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rayniel Wright G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Derwin Hodge Jr. F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Noah Treadwell G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Tim Okojie C | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| D'Shay Knights Wright F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Teon Tindal F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamal Miles G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chris Parker, Colin McKenzie
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 28 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 7-12 | 3-8 |
| Felix Okpara F | 24 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Nate Ament F | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 19 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Carey F | 23 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 19 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Amari Evans G | 13 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Amaree Abram G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Troy Henderson G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Grant Hurst, Cade Phillips
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -46.5
2 → SCST
CloseTENN -44.5
2 pts toward SCST
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -46.5 · closed TENN -44.5 · moved 2 toward SCSTmodel TENN -39
model TENN -39
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -44.5 | TENN -38.9 | SCST +5.6 | L TENN covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 146.8 | Under 0.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SCST 54 · TENN 92.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -23.2 | TENN -16.0 |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | SCST 22.8 · TENN 46 | SCST 25 · TENN 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCST | 0-10 0% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC State
13 games played
Straight up
0-13
0% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LOU | L 45-104 | +35.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 7 | @ SAM | L 72-82 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 10 | @ NCAT | L 62-85 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ COFC | L 61-88 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UTC | L 66-78 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | @ SDAK | L 81-82 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | @ MIZ | L 66-98 | +34.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 29 | @ WIN | L 79-101 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 5 | @ BCU | L 59-80 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 8 | @ CHSO | L 44-84 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 12 | @ QUC | L 78-102 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 16 | vs UPST | L 72-78 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ SC | L 70-95 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−23.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
+4.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−20.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−8.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−0.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+14.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+2.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
−1.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−7.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−27.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
−5.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+4.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−10.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
−0.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−12.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−7.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−10.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+2.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+3.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
+22.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−9.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−28.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
+22.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+2.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+15.5
over 6under 7avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vsLOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
over 6under 6avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC State
0-13 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Carolina70–95
- Lvs SC Upstate72–78
- L@ Queens University Royals78–102
- L@ Charleston So44–84
- L@ Bethune59–80
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb94–52
- Wvs Louisville83–62
- Lvs Illinois62–75
- L@ Syracuse60–62
- Lvs Kansas76–81
A week or more of rest.