Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -7.5✓ SMC covered by 3.5
SMC -7.5✓ SMC covered by 3.5Closing total135.5Under by 2.5
| SMC | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 21-4 | Record | 15-10 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 72–64 PAC · ✓ SMC (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 28 | 44 | 72 |
| PAC | 30 | 31 | 61 |
1st half: SMC 28, PAC 30 (PAC by 2). The model had SMC by 4.9 and a total of 63.8 (actual 58).
Team stats
| SMC | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 1 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillan Shaw G | 40 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Joshua Dent G | 40 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 6-17 | 3-8 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 37 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 11-16 | 3-5 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Harry Wessels C | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 25 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tony Duckett, Rory Hawke, Trent MacLean, Oliver Faubert, Kevin Gad, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Wainwright G | 39 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Elias Ralph F | 39 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 5-15 | 3-5 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 30 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Jack F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustas Brazdeikis, Emmanuel Manyuon, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana, Alexis Marmolejos, Kris Keinys, Noah Budu, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMC -7.5
ModelSMC -8.0
Model edgeSMC +0.5
W SMC covered
Total
Market135.5
Model136.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
SMC 72.1 · PAC 64.1
SMC 72 · PAC 61
Win probability
SMC 76%
1st half
Spread
SMC -4.9
PAC -2.0
Total
63.8
58 points
Projected score
SMC 34.3 · PAC 29.4
SMC 28 · PAC 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -8.5
1 → PAC
CloseSMC -7.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open136.5
▼ 1
Close135.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMC -375 · PAC +295
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -8.5 · closed SMC -7.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel SMC -8
model SMC -8
Opened 136.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 1 downmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMC 4–0 PACSMC leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 4 meetings · SMC 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | PAC 60 @ SMC 70 | SMC -20.5 | PAC W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | SMC 84 @ PAC 43 | PAC +20.5 | SMC W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | PAC 28 @ SMC 76 | SMC -27.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | PAC 52 @ SMC 83 | SMC -18.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
25 games played
Straight up
21-4
84% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs SEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs WSU | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 13 | @ SF | W 82-68 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ SCU | L 54-62 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 21 | vs ORST | W 81-51 | -19.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @PORT | W 75-69 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @ GONZ | L 65-73 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs USD | W 87-60 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsSF | W 79-54 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsPEPP | W 88-60 | -24.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
−9.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−6.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
+10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−8.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
+0.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
+6.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
+13.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
+26.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−36.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
−10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−0.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
−6.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
−1.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
−9.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
over 12under 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vsORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vsPEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vsUSD | W 77-70 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 14 | @SCU | L 69-85 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORST | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsSEA | W 56-54 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | vsPORT | W 74-51 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @SF | L 82-87 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsSCU | L 56-71 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | @PEPP | W 92-59 | -7.5 | W +25.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 11 | vsLMU | W 65-59 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−1.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−3.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+18.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
+0.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
+14.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
−0.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−8.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+25.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−0.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−0.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+5.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
−27.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
−17.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
+30.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−24.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+8.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
−17.5
over 10under 15avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
21-4 overall · 11-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pepperdine88–60
- Wvs San Francisco79–54
- Wvs San Diego87–60
- L@ Gonzaga65–73
- W@ Portland75–69
3 days since their last game.
Pacific
15-10 overall · 8-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LMU65–59
- W@ Pepperdine92–59
- Lvs Santa Clara56–71
- L@ San Francisco82–87
- Wvs Portland74–51
3 days since their last game.