Jenny Craig Pavilion · at San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
SCU -13.5✓ USD covered by 1.5
Closing total162.5Under by 4.5
| This season | USD | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-5 | Record | 7-12 |
| 12-8 | ATS | 11-8 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SCU 86–73 USD · ✓ SCU (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| USD | 29 | 44 | 73 |
1st half: SCU 41, USD 29 (SCU by 12). The model had SCU by 7.8 and a total of 74.7 (actual 70).
Team stats
| SCU | USD | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-52 63% | Field goals | 28-71 39% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 3-23 13% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 38 7 off | Rebounds | 36 17 off |
| 21 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 8 | Blocks | 1 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Hammond G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Jake Ensminger G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Mahi F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 16 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Thierry Darlan G | 24 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 24 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Allen Graves F | 19 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| KJ Cochran G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Chris Tadjo, Juan Reyna, Brendan Yarusso, Francis Chukwudebelu, Brad Longcor III, Noah Badibanga, Malachi Douyon, Gehrig Normand
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 29 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-16 | 1-5 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 19 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Dominique Ford G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Assane Diop F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Toneari Lane G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 25 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Brandon Benjamin G | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Callas G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Piotr Winkowski C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Hecht G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Neel Beniwal G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kjay Bradley, Nick Del Bosque, D'Arrae Goodwin, Boden Grant, Caleb Versher
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSCU -13.5
ModelSCU -13.0
Model edgeUSD +0.5
W USD covered
Total
Market162.5
Model159.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
W Under
Projected score
SCU 86.2 · USD 73.3
SCU 85 · USD 73
Win probability
SCU 87%
1st half
Spread
SCU -7.8
SCU -12.0
Total
74.7
70 points
Projected score
SCU 41.3 · USD 33.4
SCU 41 · USD 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSCU -12.5
1 → SCU
CloseSCU -13.5
1 pt toward SCU
Total
Open163.5
▼ 1
Close162.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SCU -1200 · USD +750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SCU -12.5 · closed SCU -13.5 · moved 1 toward SCUmodel SCU -13
model SCU -13
Opened 163.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SCU 9–1 USDSCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SCU has won the last 5 meetings · SCU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | USD 70 @ SCU 98 | SCU -17.5 | SCU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | USD 70 @ SCU 93 | SCU -19.5 | SCU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SCU 81 @ USD 80 | USD +13.5 | USD W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | USD 79 vs SCU 104 | SCU -11.5 | SCU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | SCU 82 @ USD 69 | USD +6.5 | SCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Clara
20 games played
Straight up
15-5
75% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | W 79-67 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 10 | @ | W 87-68 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 98-83 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 64-55 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 80-43 | -19.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 70-71 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 86-75 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 90-80 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 71-98 | +1.5 | L −25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 79-82 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 63-60 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 78-80 | -15.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ | W 102-64 | -7.5 | W +30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 92-85 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 82-63 | -20.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 98-70 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 77-89 | +17.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 103-72 | -11.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 85-69 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 62-54 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
MCN
W 79-67
+5.5
10
@
XAV
W 87-68
+22.5
15
vs
NEV
W 98-83
+8.5
18
vs
IDST
W 64-55
−5.5
21
vs
UL
W 80-43
+17.5
27
vs
SLU
L 70-71
+0.5
28
vs
MINN
W 86-75
+5.5
3
vs
UTU
W 90-80
−10.5
6
@
UNM
L 71-98
−25.5
13
vs
ASU
L 79-82
−4.5
17
vs
UNT
W 63-60
−9.5
20
vs
LUC
L 78-80
−17.5
28
@
ORST
W 102-64
+30.5
30
@
PORT
W 92-85
−6.5
2
vs
PEPP
W 82-63
−1.5
4
vs
USD
W 98-70
+10.5
8
@
GONZ
L 77-89
+5.5
10
vs
LMU
W 103-72
+19.5
14
vs
PAC
W 85-69
+3.5
17
vs
SMC
W 62-54
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
MCN
W 79-67
−5.5
10
@
XAV
W 87-68
−0.5
15
vs
NEV
W 98-83
+36.5
18
vs
IDST
W 64-55
−22.5
21
vs
UL
W 80-43
−17.5
27
vs
SLU
L 70-71
−17.5
28
vs
MINN
W 86-75
+22.5
3
vs
UTU
W 90-80
+25.5
6
@
UNM
L 71-98
+15.5
13
vs
ASU
L 79-82
+6.5
17
vs
UNT
W 63-60
−16.5
20
vs
LUC
L 78-80
+6.5
28
@
ORST
W 102-64
+15.5
30
@
PORT
W 92-85
+19.5
2
vs
PEPP
W 82-63
−5.5
4
vs
USD
W 98-70
+6.5
8
@
GONZ
L 77-89
+2.5
10
vs
LMU
W 103-72
+21.5
14
vs
PAC
W 85-69
−0.5
17
vs
SMC
W 62-54
−36.5
over 11under 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 66-54 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 93-99 | +29.5 | W +23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 64-74 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 70-98 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 83-63 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 70-77 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 96-92 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
IDST
L 68-71
−7.5
12
vs
IDHO
W 78-74
+5.5
18
vs
GRAM
W 78-68
+3.5
21
vs
UCR
L 71-85
−21.5
25
vs
CBU
L 61-76
−7.5
30
@
LBSU
L 72-76
−6.5
5
@
SJSU
L 69-86
−10.5
9
vs
USC
L 81-94
+1.5
13
vs
NAU
W 78-69
+4.5
19
@
UCSD
W 82-80
+14.5
22
@
WASH
L 56-86
−11.5
28
vs
PAC
W 66-54
+14.5
30
vs
GONZ
L 93-99
+23.5
2
@
SF
L 64-74
+2.5
4
@
SCU
L 70-98
−10.5
8
vs
PEPP
W 83-63
+15.5
10
@
PAC
L 70-77
+1.5
15
@
SEA
L 64-75
−1.5
21
vs
WSU
W 96-92
+5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
IDST
L 68-71
−13.5
12
vs
IDHO
W 78-74
−3.5
18
vs
GRAM
W 78-68
−3.5
21
vs
UCR
L 71-85
+3.5
25
vs
CBU
L 61-76
−9.5
30
@
LBSU
L 72-76
+0.5
5
@
SJSU
L 69-86
+10.5
9
vs
USC
L 81-94
+16.5
13
vs
NAU
W 78-69
−2.5
19
@
UCSD
W 82-80
+5.5
22
@
WASH
L 56-86
−17.5
28
vs
PAC
W 66-54
−30.5
30
vs
GONZ
L 93-99
+31.5
2
@
SF
L 64-74
−14.5
4
@
SCU
L 70-98
+6.5
8
vs
PEPP
W 83-63
−3.5
10
@
PAC
L 70-77
−0.5
15
@
SEA
L 64-75
−8.5
21
vs
WSU
W 96-92
+35.5
over 8under 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Clara
15-5 overall · 7-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Mary's62–54
- Wvs Pacific85–69
- Wvs LMU103–72
- L@ Gonzaga77–89
- Wvs San Diego98–70
A week or more of rest.
San Diego
7-12 overall · 3-5 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington St96–92
- L@ Seattle U64–75
- L@ Pacific70–77
- Wvs Pepperdine83–63
- L@ Santa Clara70–98
3 days since their last game.