Gentile Arena · at Loyola Chicago · Conference game
Closing line
GW -9.5✓ LUC covered by 15.5
GW -9.5✓ LUC covered by 15.5Closing total148.5Under by 18.5
| GW | This season | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| 16-13 | Record | 7-23 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 10-20 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 14-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 82–71 LUC · ✗ GW (83%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 27 | 35 | 62 |
| LUC | 31 | 37 | 68 |
1st half: GW 27, LUC 31 (LUC by 4). The model had GW by 6.5 and a total of 71.6 (actual 58).
Team stats
| GW | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-69 33% | Field goals | 22-50 44% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 40 19 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Jones G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-13 | 4-7 |
| Rafael Castro F | 30 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Trey Autry G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Luke Hunger F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Johnson F | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Trey Moss, Mohamed Binzagr, Vincent Chaudhri, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayde Dotson G | 37 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Alexander Richardson C | 33 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Amos F | 33 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Miles Rubin C | 32 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nic Anderson G | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Daniil Glazkov G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Sam Yurasek, Dominick Harris, Justin Moore, Zachary Royster, Brayden Young, Caleb Reese, Chuck Love III, Kymany Houinsou
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGW -9.5
ModelGW -10.7
Model edgeGW +1.2
L LUC covered
Total
Market148.5
Model153.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
GW 81.9 · LUC 71.2
GW 62 · LUC 68
Win probability
GW 83%
1st half
Spread
GW -6.5
LUC -4.0
Total
71.6
58 points
Projected score
GW 39 · LUC 32.5
GW 27 · LUC 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -9.5
no move
CloseGW -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 4
Close148.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
GW -485 · LUC +370
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -9.5 · unchangedmodel GW -10.5
model GW -10.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| LUC | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GW 2–2 LUCSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · GW 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LUC 66 @ GW 101 | GW -14.5 | GW W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | GW 57 @ LUC 77 | LUC -4.5 | LUC W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | LUC 81 @ GW 73 | GW +4 | LUC W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | GW 97 @ LUC 87 | LUC -7.5 | GW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
29 games played
Straight up
16-13
55% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs ODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs W&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @ RICH | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAS | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ DAY | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vsLUC | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs DAV | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ GMU | L 64-69 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | vsRICH | W 85-69 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @ SLU | L 76-79 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs FOR | L 65-79 | -11.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 4 | @ JOES | L 73-76 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @ DUQ | L 86-88 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 10 | vs URI | W 75-70 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 13 | vsGMU | W 72-53 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 17 | @ VCU | L 75-89 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 24 | @LAS | W 104-77 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 27 | vsDAY | L 66-68 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 4 | vs SBU | W 91-82 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+11.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
+5.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−4.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+20.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
−14.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−3.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
+5.5
27
@SLU
SLUL 76-79
+7.5
31
vsFOR
FORL 65-79
−25.5
4
@JOES
JOESL 73-76
−4.5
7
@DUQ
DUQL 86-88
−3.5
10
vsURI
URIW 75-70
−0.5
13
vsGMU
GMUW 72-53
+15.5
17
@VCU
VCUL 75-89
−7.5
24
@LAS
LASW 104-77
+18.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 66-68
−4.5
4
vsSBU
SBUW 91-82
+1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+21.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
−18.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−3.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+12.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
+12.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−20.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
−5.5
27
@SLU
SLUL 76-79
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORL 65-79
−6.5
4
@JOES
JOESL 73-76
−6.5
7
@DUQ
DUQL 86-88
+15.5
10
vsURI
URIW 75-70
−6.5
13
vsGMU
GMUW 72-53
−24.5
17
@VCU
VCUL 75-89
+2.5
24
@LAS
LASW 104-77
+34.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 66-68
−18.5
4
vsSBU
SBUW 91-82
+15.5
over 14under 15avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola Chicago
30 games played
Straight up
7-23
23% wins
Against the spread
10-20
33% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CLE | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs MERC | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs UNT | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ WICH | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs CSU | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIU | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNI | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJSU | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs CMU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vs PRIN | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs CHST | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ SF | L 71-85 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs SCU | W 80-78 | +15.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 31 | @URI | W 61-57 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAY | L 68-70 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 7 | vsDAV | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @GW | L 66-101 | +14.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 13 | vsGMU | L 74-82 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 16 | @DAY | L 51-78 | +16.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 20 | @SBU | L 70-84 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsDUQ | L 59-71 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 27 | vsJOES | L 64-85 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 30 | @VCU | L 75-89 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | vsLAS | W 71-61 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | @DAV | L 64-84 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 13 | vsSLU | L 59-86 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 18 | @FOR | L 59-62 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 21 | @JOES | L 61-75 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | vsRICH | W 69-66 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 4 | @SLU | L 65-79 | +21.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−9.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−30.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−12.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−10.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+4.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
−1.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
−24.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
−2.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+17.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
+13.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
+5.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
−13.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
−20.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+3.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 51-78
−10.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 70-84
−3.5
24
vsDUQ
DUQL 59-71
−6.5
27
vsJOES
JOESL 64-85
−19.5
30
@VCU
VCUL 75-89
+4.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 71-61
+7.5
6
@DAV
DAVL 64-84
−10.5
13
vsSLU
SLUL 59-86
−9.5
18
@FOR
FORL 59-62
+5.5
21
@JOES
JOESL 61-75
−4.5
28
vsRICH
RICHW 69-66
+5.5
4
@SLU
SLUL 65-79
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 20avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−4.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−13.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−11.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−22.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+14.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
+4.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
+18.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
+12.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+6.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
−27.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
−2.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
+6.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
+12.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+15.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 51-78
−12.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 70-84
+6.5
24
vsDUQ
DUQL 59-71
−22.5
27
vsJOES
JOESL 64-85
+5.5
30
@VCU
VCUL 75-89
+13.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 71-61
−8.5
6
@DAV
DAVL 64-84
+7.5
13
vsSLU
SLUL 59-86
−10.5
18
@FOR
FORL 59-62
−14.5
21
@JOES
JOESL 61-75
−6.5
28
vsRICH
RICHW 69-66
−11.5
4
@SLU
SLUL 65-79
−11.5
over 14under 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
16-13 overall · 8-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Bonaventure91–82
- Lvs Dayton66–68
- W@ La Salle104–77
- L@ VCU75–89
- Wvs George Mason72–53
3 days since their last game.
Loyola Chicago
7-23 overall · 3-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Louis65–79
- Wvs Richmond69–66
- L@ Saint Joseph's61–75
- L@ Fordham59–62
- Lvs Saint Louis59–86
3 days since their last game.